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Catches over expected: tight ends ranked

His catch rate compared with what each target's difficulty predicted. +4 means he catches 4 more of every 100 targets than the throws suggested.

Why the box score misses it: Catch rate rewards the receiver who is only thrown easy passes.

Best so far: Dalton Kincaid (BUF), +13.8 pts. A typical tight end is +2.6 pts. Players need at least 12 targets to qualify, so nobody is ranked on a handful of plays.

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

38 of 38 tight ends

CROE leaders among tight ends
Player
1
Dalton KincaidTE · BUFElite
+13.8 pts19−23.5grade points downLeaning that way
2
T.J. HockensonTE · MINElite
+13.4 pts27+18.2grade points upA clear change
3
Tyler HigbeeTE · LARElite
+12.8 pts19–
4
Hunter HenryTE · NEElite
+12.7 pts19+13.8grade points upLeaning that way
5
Mike GesickiTE · CINWell above typical
+12.7 pts17−15.9grade points downLeaning that way
6
Tyler WarrenTE · INDWell above typical
+11.1 pts36+10.2grade points upLeaning that way
7
Brenton StrangeTE · JAXWell above typical
+10.7 pts25+11.3grade points upLeaning that way
8
Michael MayerTE · LVWell above typical
+8.3 pts25−3.8grade points downWithin the noise
9
Brock BowersTE · LVWell above typical
+7.9 pts34−9.7grade points downWithin the noise
10
Pat FreiermuthTE · PITWell above typical
+7.8 pts26−5.9grade points downWithin the noise
11
Dalton SchultzTE · HOUAbove typical
+7.5 pts31+3.2grade points upWithin the noise
12
Greg DulcichTE · MIAAbove typical
+7.0 pts17+11.9grade points upLeaning that way
13
Juwan JohnsonTE · NOAbove typical
+6.8 pts31−6.0grade points downWithin the noise
14
Trey McBrideTE · ARIAbove typical
+6.1 pts55even
15
George KittleTE · SFAbove typical
+5.8 pts28−7.0grade points downWithin the noise
16
Sam LaPortaTE · DETTypical
+5.1 pts35even
17
Foster MoreauTE · HOUTypical
+5.0 pts12–
18
Mark AndrewsTE · BALTypical
+3.9 pts30+7.4grade points upWithin the noise
19
Gunnar HelmTE · TENTypical
+3.0 pts13–
20
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLETypical
+2.3 pts27−24.8grade points downA clear change
21
Travis KelceTE · KCTypical
+2.2 pts22−2.3grade points down
22
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGTypical
+1.8 pts47+12.0grade points upLeaning that way
23
Darren WallerTE · CARTypical
+1.6 pts19–
24
Jake FergusonTE · DALBelow typical
−0.2 pts21−24.1grade points downA clear change
25
Tommy TrembleTE · CARBelow typical
−0.5 pts15+19.7grade points upLeaning that way
26
Dallas GoedertTE · PHIBelow typical
−0.6 pts16−15.7grade points downLeaning that way
27
Tucker KraftTE · GBBelow typical
−0.9 pts29+28.4grade points upA clear change
28
Darnell WashingtonTE · PITBelow typical
−1.0 pts16+1.9grade points up
29
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJWell below typical
−2.1 pts21−35.3grade points downA clear change
30
Cade OttonTE · TBWell below typical
−2.2 pts27−2.6grade points down
31
Kyle PittsTE · ATLWell below typical
−2.3 pts15+43.3grade points upA clear change
32
Noah FantTE · NOWell below typical
−4.0 pts13–
33
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LACWell below typical
−5.0 pts16even
34
Chig OkonkwoTE · WASWell below typical
−6.6 pts13–
35
AJ BarnerTE · SEAAmong the weakest
−7.5 pts19−8.5grade points downLeaning that way
36
Evan EngramTE · DENAmong the weakest
−7.9 pts17−7.5grade points downWithin the noise
37
Terrance FergusonTE · LARAmong the weakest
−9.4 pts12–
38
Colston LovelandTE · CHIAmong the weakest
−16.1 pts23+7.2grade points upWithin the noise
How to read this table
  • The number on the left is the league rank among tight ends, even when the list is filtered to one team.
  • “Against the league” draws each player on the same strip: the ends are the 10th-best and 90th-best player, the shaded stretch is the middle half, and the tick is the median. Right is always better.
  • “Lately” is the change in grade between a player's last 2 games and the games before them. The tag says whether the change is bigger than what a few plays could cause.
  • Tick “Show the box score” to put the traditional totals next to the advanced number and sort by either.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.

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