Success rate: quarterbacks ranked

How often a dropback gains enough to keep the offense on schedule: about 40% of the yards needed on first down, 60% on second, all of them on third and fourth.

Why the box score misses it: Yards per attempt cannot tell a gain that helped from one that did not.

Best so far: Brock Purdy (SF), 57%. A typical quarterback is 45%. Players need at least 40 dropbacks to qualify, so nobody is ranked on a handful of plays.

Grades updated Mon, Oct 12, 3:02 AM ETRechecked every few hours on game days

TeamPlayerShow the box score

40 of 40 quarterbacks

Success leaders among quarterbacks
	Player		Against the league
1	Brock PurdyQB · SFElite	57%	Elite	142	−12.5grade points downA clear change
2	Lamar JacksonQB · BALElite	56%	Elite	101	–
3	Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATLElite	54%	Elite	81	−17.6grade points downA clear change
4	Tyler HuntleyQB · BALElite	51%	Elite	45	–
5	Drake MayeQB · NEWell above typical	51%	Well above typical	160	+22.8grade points upA clear change
6	Jared GoffQB · DETWell above typical	50%	Well above typical	199	−4.0grade points downLeaning that way
7	Drew LockQB · SEAWell above typical	50%	Well above typical	50	–
7	Tyson BagentQB · CHIWell above typical	50%	Well above typical	66	–
9	Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXWell above typical	49%	Well above typical	150	−2.7grade points down
10	Joe BurrowQB · CINWell above typical	49%	Well above typical	197	+14.3grade points upLeaning that way
11	Kirk CousinsQB · LVAbove typical	49%	Above typical	179	+7.1grade points upWithin the noise
12	Dak PrescottQB · DALAbove typical	49%	Above typical	194	−1.4grade points down
13	Patrick MahomesQB · KCAbove typical	48%	Above typical	132	+4.9grade points upWithin the noise
14	C.J. StroudQB · HOUAbove typical	47%	Above typical	190	+21.4grade points upA clear change
15	Case KeenumQB · CHIAbove typical	47%	Above typical	55	–
16	Jacoby BrissettQB · ARIAbove typical	47%	Above typical	208	even
17	Matthew StaffordQB · LARTypical	46%	Typical	164	+2.9grade points up
18	Marcus MariotaQB · WASTypical	46%	Typical	54	–
19	Tyler ShoughQB · NOTypical	46%	Typical	215	−9.7grade points downLeaning that way
20	Caleb WilliamsQB · CHITypical	45%	Typical	58	–
21	Bryce YoungQB · CARTypical	44%	Typical	167	+3.1grade points upWithin the noise
22	Geno SmithQB · NYJTypical	44%	Typical	161	−15.1grade points downA clear change
23	Sam DarnoldQB · SEATypical	44%	Typical	101	−19.2grade points downA clear change
24	Jalon DanielsQB · TBTypical	42%	Typical	59	–
25	Jordan LoveQB · GBBelow typical	42%	Below typical	194	+19.3grade points upA clear change
26	Deshaun WatsonQB · CLEBelow typical	42%	Below typical	166	−8.9grade points downLeaning that way
27	Cam WardQB · TENBelow typical	41%	Below typical	164	even
28	Josh AllenQB · BUFBelow typical	41%	Below typical	129	−14.4grade points downA clear change
29	Aaron RodgersQB · PITBelow typical	40%	Below typical	196	−3.0grade points downWithin the noise
30	Carson WentzQB · MINBelow typical	40%	Below typical	45	–
31	Daniel JonesQB · INDWell below typical	40%	Well below typical	183	−6.6grade points downLeaning that way
32	Jameis WinstonQB · NYGWell below typical	39%	Well below typical	142	+19.7grade points upA clear change
33	Bo NixQB · DENWell below typical	39%	Well below typical	167	−12.6grade points downA clear change
34	Jayden DanielsQB · WASWell below typical	39%	Well below typical	83	+7.6grade points upWithin the noise
35	Jalen HurtsQB · PHIWell below typical	38%	Well below typical	165	−7.4grade points downLeaning that way
36	Justin HerbertQB · LACWell below typical	37%	Well below typical	155	−6.5grade points downWithin the noise
37	Malik WillisQB · MIAAmong the weakest	37%	Among the weakest	142	+3.5grade points upWithin the noise
38	Kyler MurrayQB · MINAmong the weakest	35%	Among the weakest	108	+27.3grade points upA clear change
39	Baker MayfieldQB · TBAmong the weakest	34%	Among the weakest	108	–
40	Cooper RushQB · ATLAmong the weakest	33%	Among the weakest	43	–

How to read this table

The number on the left is the league rank among quarterbacks, even when the list is filtered to one team.
“Against the league” draws each player on the same strip: the ends are the 10th-best and 90th-best player, the shaded stretch is the middle half, and the tick is the median. Right is always better.
“Lately” is the change in grade between a player's last 2 games and the games before them. The tag says whether the change is bigger than what a few plays could cause.
Tick “Show the box score” to put the traditional totals next to the advanced number and sort by either.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.

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