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Catches over expected: wide receivers ranked

His catch rate compared with what each target's difficulty predicted. +4 means he catches 4 more of every 100 targets than the throws suggested.

Why the box score misses it: Catch rate rewards the receiver who is only thrown easy passes.

Best so far: Keon Coleman (BUF), +28.9 pts. A typical wide receiver is +2.1 pts. Players need at least 12 targets to qualify, so nobody is ranked on a handful of plays.

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

94 of 94 wide receivers

CROE leaders among wide receivers
Player
1
Keon ColemanWR · BUFElite
+28.9 pts16−6.3grade points downWithin the noise
2
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXElite
+26.2 pts17−10.9grade points downWithin the noise
3
Kalif RaymondWR · CHIElite
+20.2 pts26−5.2grade points downWithin the noise
4
Mack HollinsWR · NEElite
+20.1 pts19–
5
Tyquan ThorntonWR · KCElite
+17.6 pts14–
6
Jalen CokerWR · CARElite
+17.0 pts21–
7
Rashod BatemanWR · BALElite
+15.3 pts21+9.5grade points upWithin the noise
8
Mike EvansWR · SFElite
+14.8 pts34+1.3grade points up
9
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TBElite
+13.4 pts21−2.4grade points down
10
Zay FlowersWR · BALElite
+13.4 pts31−4.4grade points downWithin the noise
11
Justin JeffersonWR · MINWell above typical
+12.9 pts23+8.7grade points upWithin the noise
12
Nico CollinsWR · HOUWell above typical
+12.1 pts24+5.3grade points upWithin the noise
13
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAWell above typical
+11.7 pts50−2.0grade points down
14
DeVonta SmithWR · PHIWell above typical
+11.5 pts27–
15
CeeDee LambWR · DALWell above typical
+11.5 pts51−10.3grade points downLeaning that way
16
Ladd McConkeyWR · LACWell above typical
+11.4 pts17–
17
Isaiah WilliamsWR · NYJWell above typical
+11.1 pts14−8.7grade points downWithin the noise
18
Cooper KuppWR · SEAWell above typical
+10.9 pts15−19.6grade points downLeaning that way
19
Tre TuckerWR · LVWell above typical
+9.3 pts27−12.8grade points downLeaning that way
20
Pat BryantWR · DENWell above typical
+9.1 pts12–
21
Chris OlaveWR · NOWell above typical
+8.9 pts53−6.5grade points downWithin the noise
22
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARWell above typical
+8.0 pts38+12.9grade points upLeaning that way
23
Antonio WilliamsWR · WASWell above typical
+7.9 pts22−21.4grade points downA clear change
24
Jaylin NoelWR · HOUWell above typical
+7.7 pts16+37.7grade points upA clear change
25
Rashee RiceWR · KCAbove typical
+7.6 pts17+6.3grade points upWithin the noise
26
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJAbove typical
+7.2 pts41−8.0grade points downWithin the noise
27
Parker WashingtonWR · JAXAbove typical
+6.9 pts35−10.5grade points downLeaning that way
28
Efton Chism IIIWR · NEAbove typical
+6.4 pts13–
29
Jameson WilliamsWR · DETAbove typical
+6.2 pts29+14.1grade points upLeaning that way
30
Romeo DoubsWR · NEAbove typical
+6.0 pts23+8.0grade points upWithin the noise
31
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINAbove typical
+5.7 pts37even
32
Christian WatsonWR · GBAbove typical
+4.5 pts40+22.1grade points upA clear change
33
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENAbove typical
+4.5 pts30+5.1grade points upWithin the noise
34
Drake LondonWR · ATLAbove typical
+3.9 pts35−2.3grade points down
35
Kendrick BourneWR · ARIAbove typical
+3.7 pts22−14.9grade points downLeaning that way
36
George PickensWR · DALAbove typical
+3.5 pts39+4.1grade points upWithin the noise
37
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFAbove typical
+3.3 pts19−2.3grade points down
38
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJAbove typical
+3.0 pts14–
39
Dohnte MeyersWR · CINTypical
+2.9 pts18+21.9grade points upLeaning that way
40
Devaughn VeleWR · NOTypical
+2.7 pts37−1.6grade points down
How to read this table
  • The number on the left is the league rank among wide receivers, even when the list is filtered to one team.
  • “Against the league” draws each player on the same strip: the ends are the 10th-best and 90th-best player, the shaded stretch is the middle half, and the tick is the median. Right is always better.
  • “Lately” is the change in grade between a player's last 2 games and the games before them. The tag says whether the change is bigger than what a few plays could cause.
  • Tick “Show the box score” to put the traditional totals next to the advanced number and sort by either.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.

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