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WAS Washington Commanders · TE· #85

Chig Okonkwo

Age
27
Height
6'3"
Weight
238 lbs
College
Maryland
Drafted
2022, No. 143 overall (TEN)
Experience
5th NFL season
Compare with another playerTight ends leaderboard

44

Overall grade

30th of 38 tight ends

Well below typical

below average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Chig grades below average among tight ends so far, with no number far from the middle.

Back in the lineup: He missed 2 games earlier, then played all of the last 1 game, on the field for about 6 of every 10 plays when he plays.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 3 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the tight ends in the league.

  • EPA per target+0.1424th of 38small sample
  • Share of the team's passes12%25th of 38
  • Yards after catch over expected−0.8 yds25th of 36small sample
  • Catches over expected−6.6 pts34th of 38small sample

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying tight ends. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among tight ends after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 5: 38th percentile38th

Not enough games yet to draw a line.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per target game by game
WeekOpponentThat gametargetsSeason rank after
1vs PHI+0.313–
4vs IND−0.604–
5vs NYG+0.55638th pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 4 targets can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every tight end with at least 12 targets. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per target

Below typical

+0.14

24th of 38 tight ends · bottom 40%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. Every target counts, caught or not, so a receiver cannot hide behind a catch total.

The box score: Receiving yards rise with targets, not with what the targets were worth.

Does it show up in winning? Across 64 games league-wide, teams won 69% of the time when their tight end was in the best third on EPA per target, and 24% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: +0.09 (10) vs +0.31 before

Small sample: could move a lot · 13 targets · true level likely −0.56 to +0.85

Catches over expected

Well below typical

−6.6 pts

34th of 38 tight ends · bottom 14%

His catch rate compared with what each target's difficulty predicted. +4 means he catches 4 more of every 100 targets than the throws suggested.

The box score: Catch rate rewards the receiver who is only thrown easy passes.

Does it show up in winning? Across 63 games league-wide, teams won 60% of the time when their tight end was in the best third on catches over expected, and 33% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: −9.6 pts (10) vs +3.5 pts before

Small sample: could move a lot · 13 targets · true level likely −26.6 pts to +13.5 pts

Yards after catch over expected

Below typical

−0.8 yds

25th of 36 tight ends · bottom 34%

The yards he gains after the catch compared with what a typical receiver gets from that spot. It separates the player who makes defenders miss from the one who is simply open.

The box score: Yards after the catch is a total, not a comparison with where he caught it.

Does it show up in winning? Across 69 games league-wide, teams won 59% of the time when their tight end was in the best third on yards after catch over expected, and 39% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: +0.4 yds (6) vs −4.2 yds before

Small sample: could move a lot · 8 catches · true level likely −4.3 yds to +2.7 yds

Share of the team's passes

Below typical

12%

25th of 38 tight ends · bottom 37%

The portion of his team's pass attempts that were thrown to him, in the games he was targeted. It shows whether he is the focus of the offense.

The box score: Targets and receptions do not say how big the offense's passing game was.

Does it show up in winning? Across 172 games league-wide, teams won 56% of the time when their tight end was in the best third on share of the team's passes, and 37% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 14% (10) vs 9% before

Sample still growing · 13 targets · true level likely 7% to 18%

How he plays

Tendencies: how his game differs from the tight ends around him. These are not better or worse, only different, and often say as much about the offense or defense he plays in as about him.

Average depth of target

Style

7.7 yds

Works downfield, more than most tight ends. A typical one is 6.3 yds.

How far downfield his targets are, on average. It is a role, not a grade.

Small sample: could move a lot · 13 targets

Deep targets

Style

23%

Goes deep often, and more so than almost any of the tight ends. A typical one is 6%.

The share of his targets that are 20 or more yards downfield.

Small sample: could move a lot · 13 targets

Playing time

He has played in 2 of his team's 4 games with snap counts, on the field for about 57% of the team's offensive plays when he plays.

Back in the lineup. He missed 2 games earlier, then played all of the last 1 game, on the field for about 6 of every 10 plays when he plays.

Each column is a game: the share of his team's offensive snaps he played. 80% means about 8 of every 10 plays. “Out” means he did not play; a question mark means snap counts are not posted yet. Shaded games are the recent stretch.

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Chig Okonkwo game by game
GameResultSnapsTgtRecYdsTDEPA/targetCROEYAC over exp.Target share
Wk 1 vs PHIL 22–2456%32160+0.31+3.5 pts−4.2 yds9%
Wk 4 vs INDL 13–3058%4250−0.60−19.9 pts−5.0 yds10%
Wk 5 vs NYGT 27–27–64600+0.55−2.7 pts+3.1 yds19%

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among tight ends. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Chig Okonkwo box score totals
StatTotalRank
Targets1335th of 38
Receptions837th of 38
Receiving yards8134th of 38
Receiving touchdowns031st of 38

Players with a similar profile

The tight ends whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.

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