NO New Orleans Saints · RB· #5

Kendre Miller

Age
24
Height
6'0"
Weight
220 lbs
College
TCU
Drafted
2023, No. 71 overall (NO)
Experience
4th NFL season

35

Overall grade

52nd of 54 running backs

Among the weakest

well below average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Kendre grades well below average among running backs so far, with no number far from the middle.

Lately he is playing worse. EPA per carry is −0.53 over the last 2 games (16 carries), against +0.04 before that. The change points one way, but a few plays could still explain it.

Back in the lineup: He missed 1 game earlier, then played all of the last 1 game, on the field for about 3 of every 10 plays when he plays.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 4 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the running backs in the league.

  • Stuffed runs21%41st of 54small sample
  • EPA per carry−0.2746th of 54small sample
  • Success rate28%51st of 54small sample
  • Explosive runs0.0%52nd of 54

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying running backs. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among running backs after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 3: 85th percentileWeek 4: 8th percentileWeek 5: 15th percentile15th

Season rank slipped: 85th to 15th percentile since Wk 3.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per carry game by game
WeekOpponentThat gamecarriesSeason rank after
1vs DET+0.089–
3vs LV−0.05485th pct
4vs ATL−1.3668th pct
5vs MIN−0.031015th pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 7 carries can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every running back with at least 20 carries. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per carry

Well below typical

−0.27

46th of 54 running backs · bottom 17%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. A 4-yard run on 3rd-and-8 loses points even though it gains yards.

The box score: Yards per carry credits a 5-yard run on 3rd-and-15 and ignores the goal-line carry that scores.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, teams won 60% of the time when their running back was in the best third on EPA per carry, and 46% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: −0.53 (16) vs +0.04 before−24.0grade points downA clear change

Small sample: could move a lot · 29 carries · true level likely −0.57 to +0.03

Success rate

Among the weakest

28%

51st of 54 running backs · bottom 8%

How often a carry gains enough to keep the offense on schedule.

The box score: Rushing yards pile up on carries that did not help.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, teams won 67% of the time when their running back was in the best third on success rate, and 49% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 25% (16) vs 31% before−3.9grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 29 carries · true level likely 14% to 41%

Explosive runs

Among the weakest

0.0%

52nd of 54 running backs · bottom 6%

The share of his carries that go 10 yards or more.

The box score: A long run is in the yardage total but its frequency is not.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, teams won 74% of the time when their running back was in the best third on explosive runs, and 45% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 0.0% (16) vs 0.0% before+1.3grade points upWithin the noise

Sample still growing · 29 carries · true level likely -5.4% to 5.4%

Stuffed runs

Well below typical

21%lower is better

41st of 54 running backs · bottom 26%

The share of his carries that gain nothing or lose yards. Fewer is better, and the line shares the blame.

The box score: Hidden inside the yards per carry.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, a good or bad game on stuffed runs from a running back has not lined up much with his team winning (60% wins in the best third, 53% in the worst).

Last 2 games: 31% (16) vs 8% before−23.2grade points downA clear change

Small sample: could move a lot · 29 carries · true level likely 8% to 33%

How he plays

Tendencies: how his game differs from the running backs around him. These are not better or worse, only different, and often say as much about the offense or defense he plays in as about him.

Carries from shotgun

Style

38%

Right around the middle of running backs: a typical one is 34%.

The share of his carries that start with the quarterback in shotgun, a sign of what kind of run game he lives in.

Sample still growing · 29 carries

Playing time

He has played in 3 of his team's 4 games with snap counts, on the field for about 25% of the team's offensive plays when he plays.

Back in the lineup. He missed 1 game earlier, then played all of the last 1 game, on the field for about 3 of every 10 plays when he plays.

Each column is a game: the share of his team's offensive snaps he played. 80% means about 8 of every 10 plays. “Out” means he did not play; a question mark means snap counts are not posted yet. Shaded games are the recent stretch.

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Kendre Miller game by game
GameResultSnapsCarYdsTDEPA/carrySuccess10+ yd runs
Wk 1 vs DETL 30–3129%9301+0.0822%0.0%
Wk 3 vs LVL 27–3519%4140−0.0550%0.0%
Wk 4 vs ATLL 24–4526%690−1.360%0.0%
Wk 5 vs MINL 13–23–10301−0.0340%0.0%

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among running backs. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Kendre Miller box score totals
StatTotalRank
Carries2943rd of 54
Rushing yards8352nd of 54
Rushing touchdowns216th of 54

Players with a similar profile

The running backs whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.