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Compare two players
Put two players who do the same job side by side. For each stat you see where both rank in the league, and whether the gap between them is bigger than the noise a few plays create.
Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days
On the stats that count, Justin Herbert and Baker Mayfield are too close to separate with the plays we have. 4 are too close to call.
The year so far: EPA per dropback
Where each has ranked among quarterbacks after every week. Solid line is Justin Herbert, dashed is Baker Mayfield.
Stat by stat
EPA per dropback
Too close to callA −0.2538th of 40
−0.19worse to better+0.27B −0.3339th of 40
Success rate
Too close to callA 37%36th of 40
37%worse to better51%B 34%39th of 40
Accuracy over expected
Baker Mayfield is slightly aheadA −5.0 pts36th of 38
−3.2 ptsworse to better+6.1 ptsB +0.1 pts26th of 38
Bad throws (lower is better)
Too close to callA 17.3%30th of 38
19.0%worse to better10.0%B 17.6%31st of 38
Sack rate (lower is better)
Too close to callA 10.3%36th of 40
10.4%worse to better3.7%B 12.0%39th of 40
Style
- Average depth of throwJustin Herbert: 8.7 yds · Baker Mayfield: 8.9 yds
- Deep throwsJustin Herbert: 13% · Baker Mayfield: 15%
- Play-action dropbacksJustin Herbert: 24% · Baker Mayfield: 24%
- BlitzedJustin Herbert: 25% · Baker Mayfield: 36%
- Leaves the pocketJustin Herbert: 27% · Baker Mayfield: 18%
“Clearly ahead” means the gap is bigger than what the plays behind each number could produce by chance. “Slightly” means it points one way but could still be noise.
Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.
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