NYJ New York Jets · RB· #20

Breece Hall

Age
25
Height
5'11"
Weight
220 lbs
College
Iowa State
Drafted
2022, No. 36 overall (NYJ)
Experience
5th NFL season

47

Overall grade

34th of 54 running backs

Below typical

about average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Breece grades about average among running backs so far, with no number far from the middle.

Not playing lately: He played in 3 of his team's first 3 games, then did not play in the last 1 game.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 3 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the running backs in the league.

  • Broken tackles9.8 per 10013th of 51small sample
  • Explosive runs9.8%21st of 54small sample
  • EPA per carry−0.1738th of 54small sample
  • Success rate33%40th of 54small sample
  • Stuffed runs24%47th of 54small sample
  • Yards after contact1.4 yds46th of 51small sample

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying running backs. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among running backs after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 1: 74th percentileWeek 2: 42nd percentileWeek 3: 35th percentile35th

Season rank slipped: 74th to 35th percentile since Wk 1.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per carry game by game
WeekOpponentThat gamecarriesSeason rank after
1vs TEN+0.112274th pct
2vs GB−0.441642nd pct
3vs DET−0.321335th pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 17 carries can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every running back with at least 20 carries. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per carry

Below typical

−0.17

38th of 54 running backs · bottom 32%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. A 4-yard run on 3rd-and-8 loses points even though it gains yards.

The box score: Yards per carry credits a 5-yard run on 3rd-and-15 and ignores the goal-line carry that scores.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, teams won 60% of the time when their running back was in the best third on EPA per carry, and 46% when he was in the worst third.

Small sample: could move a lot · 51 carries · true level likely −0.40 to +0.05

Success rate

Below typical

33%

40th of 54 running backs · bottom 28%

How often a carry gains enough to keep the offense on schedule.

The box score: Rushing yards pile up on carries that did not help.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, teams won 67% of the time when their running back was in the best third on success rate, and 49% when he was in the worst third.

Small sample: could move a lot · 51 carries · true level likely 22% to 44%

Explosive runs

Above typical

9.8%

21st of 54 running backs · top 39%

The share of his carries that go 10 yards or more.

The box score: A long run is in the yardage total but its frequency is not.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, teams won 74% of the time when their running back was in the best third on explosive runs, and 45% when he was in the worst third.

Small sample: could move a lot · 51 carries · true level likely 2.5% to 17.1%

Yards after contact

Among the weakest

1.4 yds

46th of 51 running backs · bottom 12%

Yards he gains per carry after the first defender touches him. The blockers have done their job by then; this part is the back.

The box score: Rushing yards credit the line and the back alike.

Does it show up in winning? Across 128 games league-wide, teams won 71% of the time when their running back was in the best third on yards after contact, and 50% when he was in the worst third.

Small sample: could move a lot · 51 carries · true level likely 0.7 yds to 2.0 yds

Broken tackles

Well above typical

9.8 per 100

13th of 51 running backs · top 26%

Tackles he breaks per 100 carries, as charted by Pro Football Reference.

The box score: A broken tackle is not recorded anywhere in the box score.

Does it show up in winning? Across 128 games league-wide, a good or bad game on broken tackles from a running back has not lined up much with his team winning (62% wins in the best third, 55% in the worst).

Small sample: could move a lot · 51 carries · true level likely 2.6 per 100 to 17.0 per 100

Stuffed runs

Well below typical

24%lower is better

47th of 54 running backs · bottom 15%

The share of his carries that gain nothing or lose yards. Fewer is better, and the line shares the blame.

The box score: Hidden inside the yards per carry.

Does it show up in winning? Across 153 games league-wide, a good or bad game on stuffed runs from a running back has not lined up much with his team winning (60% wins in the best third, 53% in the worst).

Small sample: could move a lot · 51 carries · true level likely 14% to 33%

How he plays

Tendencies: how his game differs from the running backs around him. These are not better or worse, only different, and often say as much about the offense or defense he plays in as about him.

Yards before contact

Style

1.8 yds

Gets little room, more than most running backs. A typical one is 2.3 yds.

Yards per carry before a defender touches him. That is mostly the line and the scheme, so it is shown, not graded.

Sample still growing · 51 carries

Runs to the edge

Style

37%

Gets to the edge, more than most running backs. A typical one is 25%.

The share of his carries run around the end instead of between the tackles.

Sample still growing · 35 carries

Carries from shotgun

Style

27%

Right around the middle of running backs: a typical one is 34%.

The share of his carries that start with the quarterback in shotgun, a sign of what kind of run game he lives in.

Sample still growing · 51 carries

Playing time

He has played in 3 of his team's 4 games with snap counts, on the field for about 57% of the team's offensive plays when he plays.

Not playing lately. He played in 3 of his team's first 3 games, then did not play in the last 1 game.

Each column is a game: the share of his team's offensive snaps he played. 80% means about 8 of every 10 plays. “Out” means he did not play; a question mark means snap counts are not posted yet. Shaded games are the recent stretch.

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Breece Hall game by game
GameResultSnapsCarYdsTDEPA/carrySuccess10+ yd runsYAC/carry
Wk 1 vs TENW 23–1058%221021+0.1150%13.6%2.0 yds
Wk 2 vs GBL 17–2065%16290−0.4419%6.3%0.8 yds
Wk 3 vs DETL 24–3148%13320−0.3223%7.7%0.9 yds

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among running backs. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Breece Hall box score totals
StatTotalRank
Carries5130th of 54
Rushing yards16332nd of 54
Rushing touchdowns129th of 54

Players with a similar profile

The running backs whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.