IND Indianapolis Colts · RB· #20

Seth McGowan

Age
24
Height
6'1"
Weight
223 lbs
College
Kentucky; New Mexico State; Butler University; Oklahoma
Drafted
2026, No. 237 overall (IND)
Experience
Rookie

66

Overall grade

3rd of 53 kick returners

Elite

well above average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Seth grades well above average among kick returners so far, with no number far from the middle.

Lately he is playing worse. Yards per return is 27.3 yds over the last 2 games (6 returns), against 37.0 yds before that. The change is bigger than what a few plays would produce by chance.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 4 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the kick returners in the league.

  • Yards per return31.2 yds2nd of 53small sample
  • EPA per return+0.643rd of 53small sample

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying kick returners. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among kick returners after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 1: 100th percentileWeek 2: 100th percentileWeek 4: 98th percentileWeek 5: 96th percentile96th

Season rank holding near the 96th percentile since Wk 1.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per return game by game
WeekOpponentThat gamereturnsSeason rank after
1vs BAL+1.073100th pct
2vs KC+1.041100th pct
4vs WAS+0.24498th pct
5vs PIT+0.60296th pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 3 returns can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every kick returner with at least 5 returns. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per return

Elite

+0.64

3rd of 53 kick returners · top 6%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. From his team's side, for each kickoff he returns.

The box score: Return average ignores the starting field position the team would have had anyway.

Does it show up in winning? Across 82 games league-wide, teams won 54% of the time when their kick returner was in the best third on EPA per return, and 30% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: +0.36 (6) vs +1.06 before−22.2grade points downLeaning that way

Small sample: could move a lot · 10 returns · true level likely +0.22 to +1.06

Yards per return

Elite

31.2 yds

2nd of 53 kick returners · top 4%

Average yards per kickoff return.

The box score: This is the box score number.

Does it show up in winning? Across 82 games league-wide, teams won 63% of the time when their kick returner was in the best third on yards per return, and 30% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 27.3 yds (6) vs 37.0 yds before−23.1grade points downA clear change

Small sample: could move a lot · 10 returns · true level likely 26.5 yds to 35.9 yds

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Seth McGowan game by game
GameResultRetYdsEPA/returnYds/return
Wk 1 vs BALL 23–413110+1.0736.7 yds
Wk 2 vs KCL 30–33138+1.0438.0 yds
Wk 4 vs WASW 30–134102+0.2425.5 yds
Wk 5 vs PITL 22–34262+0.6031.0 yds

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among kick returners. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Seth McGowan box score totals
StatTotalRank
Returns1018th of 53
Return yards31213th of 53

Players with a similar profile

The kick returners whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

← All players

Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.