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KC Kansas City Chiefs · P· #14

Matt Araiza

Age
26
Height
6'2"
Weight
200 lbs
College
San Diego State
Drafted
2022, No. 180 overall (BUF)
Experience
5th NFL season
Compare with another playerPunters leaderboard

63

Overall grade

1st of 33 punters

Elite

well above average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Matt grades well above average among punters so far, with no number far from the middle.

Lately he is playing worse. Touchbacks is 17% over the last 2 games (6 punts), against 0% before that. A few plays could easily explain this. Worth watching, not worth believing yet.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 4 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the punters in the league.

  • Net yards per punt47.7 yds1st of 33small sample
  • Punts inside the 2082%1st of 33small sample
  • EPA per punt+0.109th of 33small sample
  • Touchbacks9%22nd of 33small sample

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying punters. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among punters after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 2: 96th percentileWeek 3: 91st percentileWeek 4: 78th percentile78th

Season rank slipped: 96th to 78th percentile since Wk 2.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per punt game by game
WeekOpponentThat gamepuntsSeason rank after
1vs DEN+0.303–
2vs IND+0.25296th pct
3vs MIA+0.10191st pct
4vs LV−0.07578th pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 3 punts can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every punter with at least 8 punts. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per punt

Well above typical

+0.10

9th of 33 punters · top 28%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. From the punting team's side: a punt that pins the offense deep adds points, a short punt gives them up.

The box score: Punting average ignores the return, the touchback and where the punt was kicked from.

Does it show up in winning? Across 70 games league-wide, a good or bad game on EPA per punt from a punter has not lined up much with his team winning (35% wins in the best third, 30% in the worst).

Last 2 games: −0.05 (6) vs +0.28 before−13.6grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 punts · true level likely −0.35 to +0.56

Net yards per punt

Elite

47.7 yds

1st of 33 punters · top 4%

Punt distance minus the return, with 20 yards taken off for a touchback.

The box score: Gross average counts yards the returner takes back.

Does it show up in winning? Across 70 games league-wide, teams won 35% of the time when their punter was in the best third on net yards per punt, and 22% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 46.0 yds (6) vs 49.8 yds before−17.4grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 punts · true level likely 42.5 yds to 52.9 yds

Punts inside the 20

Elite

82%

1st of 33 punters · top 4%

The share of his punts that land inside the 20-yard line.

The box score: Counted, but not against how many punts were close enough to try.

Does it show up in winning? Across 70 games league-wide, teams won 56% of the time when their punter was in the best third on punts inside the 20, and 22% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 83% (6) vs 80% before−10.0grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 punts · true level likely 61% to 103%

Touchbacks

Below typical

9%lower is better

22nd of 33 punters · bottom 37%

The share of his punts that are touchbacks, which waste the distance. Fewer is better.

The box score: Counted, but not against attempts.

Does it show up in winning? Across 70 games league-wide, teams won 44% of the time when their punter was in the best third on touchbacks, and 22% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 17% (6) vs 0% before−20.7grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 punts · true level likely -9% to 27%

How he plays

Tendencies: how his game differs from the punters around him. These are not better or worse, only different, and often say as much about the offense or defense he plays in as about him.

Gross punt average

Style

51.6 yds

Kicks longer, and more so than almost any of the punters. A typical one is 47.9 yds.

Average punt distance before the return. It is the box score number, shown beside net yards for comparison.

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 punts

Fair catches

Style

27%

Right around the middle of punters: a typical one is 33%.

The share of his punts that are fair caught, a sign of directional kicking and hang time.

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 punts

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Matt Araiza game by game
GameResultPuntsIn 20EPA/puntNet ydsInside 20Touchbacks
Wk 1 vs DENW 31–1032+0.3046.7 yds67%0%
Wk 2 vs INDW 33–3022+0.2554.5 yds100%0%
Wk 3 vs MIAW 24–1010+0.1042.0 yds0%100%
Wk 4 vs LVW 30–2755−0.0746.8 yds100%0%

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among punters. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Matt Araiza box score totals
StatTotalRank
Punts1128th of 33
Punts inside the 2094th of 33

Players with a similar profile

The punters whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.

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