ATL Atlanta Falcons · DB· #3

Jessie Bates

Age
29
Height
6'1"
Weight
210 lbs
College
Wake Forest
Drafted
2018, No. 54 overall (CIN)
Experience
9th NFL season

50

Overall grade

23rd of 50 safeties

Typical

about average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Jessie grades about average among safeties so far, with no number far from the middle.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 5 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the safeties in the league.

  • Missed tackles0%1st of 84small sample
  • Completion rate allowed50%12th of 50small sample
  • Passes defended per target14%16th of 50small sample
  • Yards allowed per target9.935th of 50small sample
  • Passer rating allowed11546th of 50

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying safeties. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among safeties after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 2: 66th percentileWeek 3: 56th percentileWeek 4: 36th percentile36th

Season rank slipped: 66th to 36th percentile since Wk 2.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

Yards allowed per target game by game
WeekOpponentThat gametargetsSeason rank after
1vs PIT1.84–
2vs CAR12.7366th pct
3vs GB10.0556th pct
4vs NO22.0236th pct

Lower is better for this stat. One game is a small sample: a single stat over 4 targets can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every safety with at least 10 targets. Right on the strip is better.

Yards allowed per target

Below typical

9.9lower is better

35th of 50 safeties · bottom 32%

The yards the receiver he is covering gets each time he is targeted. Fewer is better.

The box score: Interceptions are rare and say little about the hundred plays where he is just covering.

Does it show up in winning? Across 35 games league-wide, a good or bad game on yards allowed per target from a safety has not lined up much with his team winning (64% wins in the best third, 64% in the worst).

Last 2 games: 13.4 (7) vs 6.4 before−17.9grade points downLeaning that way

Small sample: could move a lot · 14 targets · true level likely 5.8 to 14.1

Passer rating allowed

Among the weakest

115lower is better

46th of 50 safeties · bottom 10%

The passer rating of quarterbacks throwing at him. 158.3 is perfect for the passer, so lower is better for the defender.

The box score: Not in the box score.

Does it show up in winning? Across 35 games league-wide, teams won 73% of the time when their safety was in the best third on passer rating allowed, and 36% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 111 (7) vs 119 before−1.0grade points downWithin the noise

Sample still growing · 14 targets · true level likely 91 to 139

Completion rate allowed

Well above typical

50%lower is better

12th of 50 safeties · top 24%

The share of passes thrown at him that are completed. Fewer is better.

The box score: Not in the box score.

Does it show up in winning? Across 35 games league-wide, teams won 82% of the time when their safety was in the best third on completion rate allowed, and 27% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 43% (7) vs 57% before+7.0grade points upWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 14 targets · true level likely 28% to 72%

Passes defended per target

Above typical

14%

16th of 50 safeties · top 32%

How often a pass thrown at him ends with him breaking it up. A cornerback does this far more often than he intercepts.

The box score: Passes defended are counted, but never against how often he was tested.

Does it show up in winning? Across 35 games league-wide, teams won 82% of the time when their safety was in the best third on passes defended per target, and 46% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 29% (7) vs 0% before+24.5grade points upLeaning that way

Small sample: could move a lot · 14 targets · true level likely -3% to 31%

Missed tackles

Elite

0%lower is better

1st of 84 safeties · top 2%

The share of his tackle chances he missed. Fewer is better.

The box score: Tackle totals reward the player who gets the most chances, not the one who finishes them.

Does it show up in winning? Across 144 games league-wide, a good or bad game on missed tackles from a safety has not lined up much with his team winning (50% wins in the best third, 44% in the worst).

Last 2 games: 0% (5) vs 0% beforeevenWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 17 tackle chances · true level likely -9% to 9%

How he plays

Tendencies: how his game differs from the safeties around him. These are not better or worse, only different, and often say as much about the offense or defense he plays in as about him.

Depth of passes at him

Style

12.8 yds

Is tested deep, more than most safeties. A typical one is 9.7 yds.

How far downfield the passes thrown at him travel on average. It shows whether he is tested deep or underneath, which is a role, not a grade.

Small sample: could move a lot · 14 targets

Playing time

He has played in 4 of his team's 4 games with snap counts, on the field for about 94% of the team's defensive plays when he plays.

Each column is a game: the share of his team's defensive snaps he played. 80% means about 8 of every 10 plays. “Out” means he did not play; a question mark means snap counts are not posted yet. Shaded games are the recent stretch.

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Jessie Bates game by game
GameResultSnapsTklSoloAstTFLSacksPressPBUIntMissedYds/targetRating againstComp % againstPBU/target
Wk 1 vs PITL 13–20100%6330000001.89650%0%
Wk 2 vs CARL 3–3494%64200000012.714967%0%
Wk 3 vs GBW 35–1498%41300010010.011740%20%
Wk 4 vs NOW 45–2482%10100010022.09650%50%
Wk 5 vs BALL 23–30–642000000––––

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among safeties. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Jessie Bates box score totals
StatTotalRank
Tackles2326th of 50
Solo tackles1231st of 50
Assisted tackles1116th of 50
Tackles for loss026th of 50
Sacks014th of 50
Pressures030th of 50
Passes defended217th of 50
Interceptions020th of 50
Missed tackles044th of 50

Players with a similar profile

The safeties whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.