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BUF Buffalo Bills · WR· #19 · also kick returner

Greg Dortch

Age
28
Height
5'7"
Weight
173 lbs
College
Wake Forest
Drafted
Not drafted
Experience
8th NFL season
Compare with another playerPunt returners leaderboard

53

Overall grade

15th of 34 punt returners

Typical

about average; 50 is average

Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days

The read

Greg grades about average among punt returners so far, with no number far from the middle.

Lately he is playing worse. Yards per return is 8.0 yds over the last 2 games (3 returns), against 11.5 yds before that. A few plays could easily explain this. Worth watching, not worth believing yet.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 4 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the punt returners in the league.

  • EPA per punt fielded+0.2310th of 34small sample
  • Yards per return10.0 yds13th of 24small sample

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying punt returners. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among punt returners after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 2: 86th percentileWeek 3: 91st percentileWeek 4: 81st percentile81st

Season rank holding near the 81st percentile since Wk 2.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per punt fielded game by game
WeekOpponentThat gamepuntsSeason rank after
1vs HOU+0.791–
2vs DET+0.16486th pct
3vs LAC+0.52191st pct
4vs NE−0.04281st pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 2 punts can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every punt returner with at least 5 punts fielded. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per punt fielded

Above typical

+0.23

10th of 34 punt returners · top 30%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. From his team's side, for every punt he fields, fair catches included.

The box score: Return average ignores fair catches and the starting field position.

Does it show up in winning? Across 54 games league-wide, a good or bad game on EPA per punt fielded from a punt returner has not lined up much with his team winning (61% wins in the best third, 53% in the worst).

Last 2 games: +0.15 (3) vs +0.29 before−6.6grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 8 punts · true level likely −0.23 to +0.70

Yards per return

Typical

10.0 yds

13th of 24 punt returners · bottom 50%

Average yards when he returns the punt (fair catches excluded).

The box score: This is the box score number.

Last 2 games: 8.0 yds (3) vs 11.5 yds before−7.7grade points downWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 7 returns · true level likely 5.0 yds to 15.0 yds

How he plays

Tendencies: how his game differs from the punt returners around him. These are not better or worse, only different, and often say as much about the offense or defense he plays in as about him.

Fair catch rate

Style

13%

Returns almost everything, and more so than almost any of the punt returners. A typical one is 41%.

How often he fair catches instead of returning, a choice about risk.

Small sample: could move a lot · 8 punts

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Greg Dortch game by game
GameResultFieldedYdsEPA/puntYds/return
Wk 1 vs HOUW 36–31110+0.7910.0 yds
Wk 2 vs DETW 41–31436+0.1612.0 yds
Wk 3 vs LACW 24–1618+0.528.0 yds
Wk 4 vs NEL 26–29216−0.048.0 yds

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among punt returners. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Greg Dortch box score totals
StatTotalRank
Punts fielded822nd of 34
Return yards7011th of 34

Players with a similar profile

The punt returners whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

As a kick returner

Points added and yards gained on kickoff returns.

The read

Greg grades about average among kick returners so far, with no number far from the middle.

Lately he is playing better. EPA per return is +0.57 over the last 2 games (7 returns), against +0.21 before that. A few plays could easily explain this. Worth watching, not worth believing yet.

Written from his numbers, not from film. 4 games are behind the season figures.

How he stacks up

Every graded stat at a glance, against all the kick returners in the league.

  • EPA per return+0.449th of 53small sample
  • Yards per return26.4 yds23rd of 53small sample

Left is the worst at his job, right is the best, and the line down the middle is average. The bubble is his percentile: 90 means better than nine in ten qualifying kick returners. Faded bars are still small samples.

How he has progressed

Where he has ranked among kick returners after each week, and every game behind it.

WorstMiddleBestrecent12345Week 1: 63rd percentileWeek 2: 36th percentileWeek 3: 78th percentileWeek 4: 79th percentile79th

Season rank climbed: 63rd to 79th percentile since Wk 1.

The line is his season-to-date rank among players at his position after each week, from 100 (the best) to 0 (the worst). It rises when he passes other players, not when he has one big game. Early weeks are noisier because fewer plays are behind them. The shaded weeks are the recent stretch.

EPA per return game by game
WeekOpponentThat gamereturnsSeason rank after
1vs HOU+0.28363rd pct
2vs DET−0.00136th pct
3vs LAC+0.67378th pct
4vs NE+0.49479th pct

One game is a small sample: a single stat over 3 returns can swing on a handful of plays. Shaded rows are the recent stretch.

The numbers, in context

Each one against every kick returner with at least 5 returns. Right on the strip is better.

EPA per return

Well above typical

+0.44

9th of 53 kick returners · top 17%

Expected points added: how many points the play added to (or took from) the offense's scoring chances, given the down, the distance and the field position. From his team's side, for each kickoff he returns.

The box score: Return average ignores the starting field position the team would have had anyway.

Does it show up in winning? Across 82 games league-wide, teams won 54% of the time when their kick returner was in the best third on EPA per return, and 30% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: +0.57 (7) vs +0.21 before+9.8grade points upWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 returns · true level likely +0.04 to +0.83

Yards per return

Typical

26.4 yds

23rd of 53 kick returners · top 44%

Average yards per kickoff return.

The box score: This is the box score number.

Does it show up in winning? Across 82 games league-wide, teams won 63% of the time when their kick returner was in the best third on yards per return, and 30% when he was in the worst third.

Last 2 games: 26.1 yds (7) vs 26.8 yds beforeevenWithin the noise

Small sample: could move a lot · 11 returns · true level likely 21.9 yds to 30.8 yds

Game by game

Every game this season: how it ended for his team, how much he played, his box score, and the advanced numbers from that one game. One game is a small sample, so read the right-hand columns as a snapshot, not his level.

Greg Dortch game by game
GameResultRetYdsEPA/returnYds/return
Wk 1 vs HOUW 36–31382+0.2827.3 yds
Wk 2 vs DETW 41–31125−0.0025.0 yds
Wk 3 vs LACW 24–16392+0.6730.7 yds
Wk 4 vs NEL 26–29491+0.4922.8 yds

The box score

The traditional totals, with where each ranks among kick returners. A total rewards volume, which is why the advanced numbers above matter.

Greg Dortch box score totals
StatTotalRank
Returns1114th of 53
Return yards29018th of 53

Players with a similar profile

The kick returners whose grades are closest to his across the same stats. Similar means similar numbers, not the same style of play.

Ranks are among players at the same job who have enough plays to be graded. Grades and rankings come from play-by-play, charting and snap-count data, so they cannot see blocking, route running or assignments. See how the grades work.

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Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.

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