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Compare two players
Put two players who do the same job side by side. For each stat you see where both rank in the league, and whether the gap between them is bigger than the noise a few plays create.
Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days
Buffalo Bills · QB
Chicago Bears · QBOn the stats that count, Josh Allen and Caleb Williams are too close to separate with the plays we have. 5 are too close to call.
The year so far: EPA per dropback
Where each has ranked among quarterbacks after every week. Solid line is Josh Allen, dashed is Caleb Williams.
Stat by stat
EPA per dropback
Too close to callA +0.179th of 40
−0.19worse to better+0.27B +0.217th of 40
Success rate
Too close to callA 41%28th of 40
37%worse to better51%B 45%20th of 40
Accuracy over expected
Too close to callA +5.5 pts8th of 38
−3.2 ptsworse to better+6.1 ptsB +6.0 pts5th of 38
Bad throws (lower is better)
Too close to callA 13.2%18th of 38
19.0%worse to better10.0%B 10.3%6th of 38
Sack rate (lower is better)
Too close to callA 7.0%25th of 40
10.4%worse to better3.7%B 8.6%33rd of 40
Style
- Average depth of throwJosh Allen: 9.8 yds · Caleb Williams: 8.4 yds
- Deep throwsJosh Allen: 18% · Caleb Williams: 13%
- Play-action dropbacksJosh Allen: 29% · Caleb Williams: 29%
- BlitzedJosh Allen: 30% · Caleb Williams: 57%
- Leaves the pocketJosh Allen: 21% · Caleb Williams: 26%
“Clearly ahead” means the gap is bigger than what the plays behind each number could produce by chance. “Slightly” means it points one way but could still be noise.
Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.
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