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Compare two players
Put two players who do the same job side by side. For each stat you see where both rank in the league, and whether the gap between them is bigger than the noise a few plays create.
Grades updated Rechecked every few hours on game days
Chicago Bears · QB
New York Jets · QBOn the stats that count, Caleb Williams and Geno Smith are too close to separate with the plays we have. 4 are too close to call.
The year so far: EPA per dropback
Where each has ranked among quarterbacks after every week. Solid line is Caleb Williams, dashed is Geno Smith.
Stat by stat
EPA per dropback
Caleb Williams is slightly aheadA +0.217th of 40
−0.19worse to better+0.27B +0.0121st of 40
Success rate
Too close to callA 45%20th of 40
37%worse to better51%B 44%22nd of 40
Accuracy over expected
Too close to callA +6.0 pts5th of 38
−3.2 ptsworse to better+6.1 ptsB +4.0 pts12th of 38
Bad throws (lower is better)
Too close to callA 10.3%6th of 38
19.0%worse to better10.0%B 7.9%2nd of 38
Sack rate (lower is better)
Too close to callA 8.6%33rd of 40
10.4%worse to better3.7%B 9.9%35th of 40
Style
- Average depth of throwCaleb Williams: 8.4 yds · Geno Smith: 6.6 yds
- Deep throwsCaleb Williams: 13% · Geno Smith: 8%
- Play-action dropbacksCaleb Williams: 29% · Geno Smith: 22%
- BlitzedCaleb Williams: 57% · Geno Smith: 28%
- Leaves the pocketCaleb Williams: 26% · Geno Smith: 8%
“Clearly ahead” means the gap is bigger than what the plays behind each number could produce by chance. “Slightly” means it points one way but could still be noise.
Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.
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