The Lab · Matchups

Vikings vs Saints: position-group matchup

The biggest mismatch: the Vikings pass coverage (1st) against the Saints quarterback play (17th).

Week 5: Vikings at SaintsSun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ETVikings favored by 1.5

On paper

4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.

Vikings

7

pairings with the edge

Saints

1

pairings with the edge

of 8

On paper, the Vikings hold the edge across the position groups.

  • Vikings big edge

    Vikings pass coverage (1st) against the Saints quarterback play (17th)

  • Vikings big edge

    Vikings pass coverage (3rd) against the Saints receiving corps (19th)

  • Saints edge

    Saints pass rush (19th) against the Vikings pass protection (28th)

Position group by position group

Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.

Vikings offense vs Saints defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Saints edge
    WeakestBest

    The Vikings pass protection ranks 28th. The Saints pass rush ranks 19th.

    The numbers and the players

    Vikings pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback10.1% (31st)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback24% (18th)
    • Blake Brandel (C) 100% of snaps
    • Will Fries (G) 100% of snaps
    • Brian O'Neill (T) 100% of snaps
    • Christian Darrisaw (T) 89% of snaps
    • Donovan Jackson (G) 77% of snaps

    Saints pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback5.9% (18th)
    • Pressure per dropback21% (23rd)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback14.7% (19th)
    • Chase Young (DE) 6 pressures, 3.5 sacks
    • Kaden Elliss (LB) 6 pressures
    • Carl Granderson (DE) 4 pressures, 1 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Vikings edge
    WeakestBest

    The Vikings run game ranks 28th. The Saints run defense ranks 32nd.

    Saints (Week 4 report, latest out): Carl Granderson (LB, out, ankle); Kaden Elliss (LB, out, calf); Pete Werner (LB, questionable, shoulder)

    The numbers and the players

    Vikings run game

    • Points added per run−0.13 (21st)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track33% (30th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.3 (28th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards6.9% (23rd)
    • Rushing yards before contact2.4 (17th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line18% (18th)
    • Aaron Jones (RB) −0.07 per run on 71
    • Jordan Mason (RB) −0.20 per run on 15
    • Blake Brandel (C) 100% of snaps
    • Will Fries (G) 100% of snaps
    • Brian O'Neill (T) 100% of snaps
    • Christian Darrisaw (T) 89% of snaps
    • Donovan Jackson (G) 77% of snaps

    Saints run defense

    • Points allowed per run+0.12 (32nd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line12% (29th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed12.4% (30th)
    • Missed tackles8.6% (20th)
    • Kaden Elliss (LB) 24 tackles
    • Pete Werner (LB) 21 tackles
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Vikings edge
    WeakestBest

    The Vikings quarterback play ranks 21st. The Saints pass coverage ranks 30th.

    The numbers and the players

    Vikings quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback−0.11 (26th)
    • Completions above expected−1.7 (23rd)
    • Interceptions per throw1.6% (15th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback7.0% (22nd)
    • Kyler Murray (QB) −0.22 per dropback on 77

    Saints pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw+0.17 (27th)
    • Completions allowed above expected+3.4 (25th)
    • Interceptions per throw0.8% (25th)
    • Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB) 91.5 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
    • Jonas Sanker (S) 111.0 passer rating allowed on 15 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Vikings edge
    WeakestBest

    The Vikings receiving corps ranks 21st. The Saints pass coverage ranks 24th.

    Vikings (Week 4 report, latest out): Justin Jefferson (WR, out, ankle)

    The numbers and the players

    Vikings receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.14 (19th)
    • Yards after the catch4.7 (17th)
    • Drops per target7.1% (29th)
    • Tackles broken per catch6.1% (10th)
    • T.J. Hockenson (TE) +0.63 per target on 26
    • Jordan Addison (WR) −0.09 per target on 21
    • Justin Jefferson (WR) +0.74 per target on 17

    Saints pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed8.1% (18th)
    • Passer rating allowed102.8 (25th)
    • Points allowed per throw+0.17 (27th)
    • Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB) 91.5 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
    • Jonas Sanker (S) 111.0 passer rating allowed on 15 targets

Saints offense vs Vikings defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Vikings edge
    WeakestBest

    The Saints pass protection ranks 7th. The Vikings pass rush ranks 1st.

    The numbers and the players

    Saints pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback6.2% (18th)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback15% (2nd)
    • David Edwards (G) 100% of snaps
    • Erik McCoy (C) 100% of snaps
    • Taliese Fuaga (T) 100% of snaps
    • Cesar Ruiz (C) 100% of snaps
    • Asim Richards (OL) 60% of snaps

    Vikings pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback10.7% (1st)
    • Pressure per dropback43% (1st)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback24.2% (1st)
    • Dallas Turner (LB) 22 pressures, 5.5 sacks
    • Andrew Van Ginkel (LB) 9 pressures, 3 sacks
    • Blake Cashman (LB) 9 pressures, 2.5 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Vikings big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Saints run game ranks 21st. The Vikings run defense ranks 5th.

    The numbers and the players

    Saints run game

    • Points added per run−0.08 (17th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track39% (17th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.5 (21st)
    • Runs of 10+ yards4.3% (32nd)
    • Rushing yards before contact2.3 (20th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line17% (15th)
    • Travis Etienne (RB) −0.00 per run on 31
    • Alvin Kamara (RB) −0.08 per run on 25
    • David Edwards (G) 100% of snaps
    • Erik McCoy (C) 100% of snaps
    • Taliese Fuaga (T) 100% of snaps
    • Cesar Ruiz (C) 100% of snaps
    • Asim Richards (OL) 60% of snaps

    Vikings run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.25 (2nd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line21% (9th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed11.1% (24th)
    • Missed tackles5.5% (5th)
    • Blake Cashman (LB) 33 tackles
    • Eric Wilson (LB) 24 tackles, 3 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Vikings big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Saints quarterback play ranks 17th. The Vikings pass coverage ranks 1st.

    The numbers and the players

    Saints quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.01 (19th)
    • Completions above expected+2.8 (12th)
    • Interceptions per throw1.6% (13th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback6.7% (23rd)
    • Tyler Shough (QB) +0.01 per dropback on 189

    Vikings pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.23 (1st)
    • Completions allowed above expected−10.5 (2nd)
    • Interceptions per throw2.8% (8th)
    • Byron Murphy (CB) 80.8 passer rating allowed on 26 targets
    • Josh Metellus (S) 99.8 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Vikings big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Saints receiving corps ranks 19th. The Vikings pass coverage ranks 3rd.

    The numbers and the players

    Saints receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.21 (16th)
    • Yards after the catch3.6 (29th)
    • Drops per target2.4% (8th)
    • Tackles broken per catch4.2% (18th)
    • Chris Olave (WR) +0.72 per target on 47
    • Devaughn Vele (WR) +0.46 per target on 31
    • Juwan Johnson (TE) +0.33 per target on 26

    Vikings pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed8.1% (17th)
    • Passer rating allowed72.6 (2nd)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.23 (1st)
    • Byron Murphy (CB) 80.8 passer rating allowed on 26 targets
    • Josh Metellus (S) 99.8 passer rating allowed on 22 targets

Tale of the tape

Every unit on its own, side by side.

VikingsSaints
  • QuarterbackOffense
  • Offensive lineOffense
  • ReceiversOffense
  • Run gameOffense
  • Pass rushDefense
  • Run defenseDefense
  • Pass coverageDefense

Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.

How these grades are calculated
  1. Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
  2. Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
  3. A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
  4. Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.

For example, the Saints run defense is 32nd. Its stats rank 32nd (points allowed per run), 29th (runs stopped at or behind the line), 30th (runs of 10+ yards allowed), and 20th (missed tackles). Averaged, that is a grade of 14 out of 100, which is 32nd among the 32 teams.

This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.

Quarterback
points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
Offensive line
sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
Receivers
points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
Run game
points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
Pass rush
sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
Run defense
points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
Pass coverage
points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed

The coaches

Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.

MeasureVikingsSaints
Head coachKevin O'ConnellKellen Moore
Record as a head coach47-25 in 72 games7-14 in 21 games
With this team47-25 since 20227-14 since 2025
Against the spread, this season3-12-2
Against the spread, career37-30-511-10
Against the spread as an underdog14-13-28-7
Against the spread as a favorite23-17-33-3
Coming off a bye2-20-1
Head coach against head coachHave not metHave not met
Team against team since 19997-66-7
Last meetings, newest first: Vikings 27-19 (2023 Wk 10) · Vikings 28-25 (2022 Wk 4) · Vikings 33-52 (2020 Wk 16) · Vikings 20-30 (2018 Wk 8) · Vikings 29-19 (2017 Wk 1)

How each team plays

Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.

How the offenses like to play
  • Pass rate over expected

    Vikings −4.7 pts (25th highest) — runs more than the situation calls for

    Saints +1.2 pts (9th highest)

  • Play-action share of dropbacks

    Vikings 28% (8th highest) — leans on play-action

    Saints 18% (29th highest) — rarely uses play-action

  • Plays with pre-snap motion

    Vikings 57% (17th highest)

    Saints 59% (13th highest)

  • No-huddle plays

    Vikings 6% (16th highest)

    Saints 16% (1st highest) — hurries to the line

  • Plays from the shotgun

    Vikings 60% (15th highest)

    Saints 69% (4th highest) — lives in the shotgun

How the defenses like to play
  • Blitz rate

    Vikings 73% (1st highest) — sends extra rushers often

    Saints 35% (10th highest)

  • Pass rushers sent

    Vikings 4.9 (1st highest) — sends the most rushers

    Saints 4.4 (10th highest)

  • Runs against a loaded box (8+)

    Vikings 7% (19th highest)

    Saints 5% (24th highest)

Who is missing

The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.

Vikings

Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.

  • Justin Jefferson WRStarterOut · ankle · receivers
  • Charles Demmings CBOut · hamstring · pass coverage
  • Christian Darrisaw TStarterDid not practice · offensive line
  • Aaron Jones RBStarterLimited in practice · run game
  • Harrison Smith SLimited in practice · pass coverage

Saints

Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.

  • Carl Granderson LBStarterOut · ankle · run defense
  • Kaden Elliss LBStarterOut · calf · run defense
  • Anfernee Jennings LBOut · knee · run defense
  • Pete Werner LBStarterQuestionable · shoulder · run defense
  • Noah Fant TEQuestionable · abdomen · receivers
  • Nathan Shepherd DTStarterDid not practice · pass rush
  • Treyton Welch TEDid not practice · receivers
  • Jayden Price CBLimited in practice · pass coverage
← All 32 teams

Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.