The Lab · Matchups

Raiders vs Patriots: position-group matchup

The biggest mismatch: the Raiders pass rush (2nd) against the Patriots pass protection (25th).

Week 5: Raiders at PatriotsSun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ETPatriots favored by 3.5

On paper

4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.

Raiders

4

pairings with the edge

Patriots

0

pairings with the edge

of 8

On paper, the Raiders hold the edge across the position groups.

  • Raiders big edge

    Raiders pass rush (2nd) against the Patriots pass protection (25th)

  • Raiders big edge

    Raiders pass coverage (2nd) against the Patriots quarterback play (19th)

Position group by position group

Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.

Raiders offense vs Patriots defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders pass protection ranks 16th. The Patriots pass rush ranks 16th.

    Raiders (Week 4 report, latest out): Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, out, groin)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback3.3% (3rd)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback26% (28th)
    • Spencer Burford (G) 100% of snaps
    • Delmar Glaze (T) 100% of snaps
    • Tyler Linderbaum (C) 100% of snaps
    • Kolton Miller (T) 100% of snaps
    • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) 98% of snaps

    Patriots pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback5.8% (19th)
    • Pressure per dropback23% (17th)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback15.8% (16th)
    • Elijah Ponder (LB) 7 pressures, 2.5 sacks
    • Dre'Mont Jones (LB) 5 pressures, 1 sacks
    • Gabe Jacas (LB) 4 pressures, 1.5 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders run game ranks 30th. The Patriots run defense ranks 28th.

    Raiders (Week 4 report, latest out): Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, out, groin)

    Patriots (Week 4 report, latest out): Christian Elliss (LB, questionable, chest); Dre'Mont Jones (LB, questionable, shoulder)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders run game

    • Points added per run−0.20 (28th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track34% (27th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.7 (15th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards7.5% (20th)
    • Rushing yards before contact1.4 (32nd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line27% (32nd)
    • Ashton Jeanty (RB) −0.28 per run on 77
    • Mike Washington Jr. (RB) −0.09 per run on 24
    • Spencer Burford (G) 100% of snaps
    • Delmar Glaze (T) 100% of snaps
    • Tyler Linderbaum (C) 100% of snaps
    • Kolton Miller (T) 100% of snaps
    • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) 98% of snaps

    Patriots run defense

    • Points allowed per run+0.05 (30th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line10% (32nd)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed10.3% (22nd)
    • Missed tackles7.8% (14th)
    • Robert Spillane (LB) 29 tackles, 2 missed
    • Christian Elliss (LB) 25 tackles, 1 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders quarterback play ranks 14th. The Patriots pass coverage ranks 11th.

    Patriots (Week 4 report, latest out): Christian Gonzalez (CB, out, shoulder); Craig Woodson (S, questionable, shoulder)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.15 (11th)
    • Completions above expected+1.9 (15th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.7% (25th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback8.6% (11th)
    • Kirk Cousins (QB) +0.15 per dropback on 148

    Patriots pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.08 (6th)
    • Completions allowed above expected+1.5 (19th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.3% (15th)
    • Marcus Jones (CB) 69.8 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
    • Carlton Davis (CB) 90.3 passer rating allowed on 18 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders receiving corps ranks 13th. The Patriots pass coverage ranks 12th.

    Patriots (Week 4 report, latest out): Christian Gonzalez (CB, out, shoulder); Craig Woodson (S, questionable, shoulder)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.24 (14th)
    • Yards after the catch4.0 (25th)
    • Drops per target2.2% (7th)
    • Tackles broken per catch5.4% (11th)
    • Ashton Jeanty (RB) −0.06 per target on 25
    • Brock Bowers (TE) +0.57 per target on 24
    • Michael Mayer (TE) +0.26 per target on 24

    Patriots pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed7.2% (13th)
    • Passer rating allowed91.2 (17th)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.08 (6th)
    • Marcus Jones (CB) 69.8 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
    • Carlton Davis (CB) 90.3 passer rating allowed on 18 targets

Patriots offense vs Raiders defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Raiders big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Patriots pass protection ranks 25th. The Raiders pass rush ranks 2nd.

    Patriots (Week 4 report, latest out): Morgan Moses (T, questionable, foot)

    The numbers and the players

    Patriots pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback6.9% (20th)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback25% (26th)
    • Will Campbell (T) 100% of snaps
    • Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) 100% of snaps
    • Jared Wilson (OL) 95% of snaps
    • Morgan Moses (T) 90% of snaps
    • Ben Brown (C) 40% of snaps

    Raiders pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback8.2% (5th)
    • Pressure per dropback38% (2nd)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback21.9% (2nd)
    • Maxx Crosby (DE) 18 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Kwity Paye (DE) 7 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Malcolm Koonce (DE) 6 pressures, 2.5 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Raiders edge
    WeakestBest

    The Patriots run game ranks 29th. The Raiders run defense ranks 20th.

    Patriots (Week 4 report, latest out): Morgan Moses (T, questionable, foot)

    The numbers and the players

    Patriots run game

    • Points added per run−0.19 (25th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track33% (28th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.6 (16th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards6.1% (26th)
    • Rushing yards before contact2.3 (22nd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line22% (27th)
    • Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) −0.15 per run on 43
    • TreVeyon Henderson (RB) −0.15 per run on 38
    • Will Campbell (T) 100% of snaps
    • Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) 100% of snaps
    • Jared Wilson (OL) 95% of snaps
    • Morgan Moses (T) 90% of snaps
    • Ben Brown (C) 40% of snaps

    Raiders run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.15 (8th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line18% (16th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed11.6% (27th)
    • Missed tackles9.4% (23rd)
    • Nakobe Dean (LB) 33 tackles, 7 missed
    • Quay Walker (LB) 30 tackles, 2 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Raiders big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Patriots quarterback play ranks 19th. The Raiders pass coverage ranks 2nd.

    The numbers and the players

    Patriots quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.04 (17th)
    • Completions above expected+2.3 (13th)
    • Interceptions per throw5.3% (31st)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback8.2% (14th)
    • Drake Maye (QB) −0.06 per dropback on 126

    Raiders pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.15 (3rd)
    • Completions allowed above expected−4.1 (4th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.9% (7th)
    • Eric Stokes (CB) 87.5 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Hezekiah Masses (CB) 42.9 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Raiders big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Patriots receiving corps ranks 24th. The Raiders pass coverage ranks 4th.

    The numbers and the players

    Patriots receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.14 (18th)
    • Yards after the catch4.4 (21st)
    • Drops per target6.0% (25th)
    • Tackles broken per catch4.0% (19th)
    • Romeo Doubs (WR) +0.42 per target on 20
    • Mack Hollins (WR) +0.75 per target on 19
    • DeMario Douglas (WR) −0.07 per target on 17

    Raiders pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed6.2% (7th)
    • Passer rating allowed88.9 (12th)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.15 (3rd)
    • Eric Stokes (CB) 87.5 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Hezekiah Masses (CB) 42.9 passer rating allowed on 20 targets

Tale of the tape

Every unit on its own, side by side.

RaidersPatriots
  • QuarterbackOffense
  • Offensive lineOffense
  • ReceiversOffense
  • Run gameOffense
  • Pass rushDefense
  • Run defenseDefense
  • Pass coverageDefense

Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.

How these grades are calculated
  1. Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
  2. Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
  3. A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
  4. Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.

For example, the Patriots offensive line is 30th. Its stats rank 20th (sacks allowed per dropback), 26th (pressure allowed per dropback), 22nd (rushing yards before contact), and 27th (runs stopped at or behind the line). Averaged, that is a grade of 27 out of 100, which is 30th among the 32 teams.

This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.

Quarterback
points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
Offensive line
sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
Receivers
points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
Run game
points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
Pass rush
sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
Run defense
points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
Pass coverage
points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed

The coaches

Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.

MeasureRaidersPatriots
Head coachKlint KubiakMike Vrabel
Record as a head coach3-1 in 4 games (first year)70-50 in 120 games
With this team3-1 since 202616-5 since 2025
Against the spread, this season4-02-1-1
Against the spread, career4-063-52-5
Against the spread as an underdog3-034-24-4
Against the spread as a favorite1-029-28-1
Coming off a byenone yet6-1
Head coach against head coachHave not metHave not met
Team against team since 19994-66-4
Last meetings, newest first: Raiders 20-13 (2025 Wk 1) · Raiders 21-17 (2023 Wk 6) · Raiders 30-24 (2022 Wk 15) · Raiders 20-36 (2020 Wk 3) · Raiders 8-33 (2017 Wk 11)

How each team plays

Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.

How the offenses like to play
  • Pass rate over expected

    Raiders −2.8 pts (19th highest)

    Patriots −0.6 pts (13th highest)

  • Play-action share of dropbacks

    Raiders 25% (13th highest)

    Patriots 24% (15th highest)

  • Plays with pre-snap motion

    Raiders 66% (6th highest) — moves players before almost every snap

    Patriots 55% (20th highest)

  • No-huddle plays

    Raiders 4% (22nd highest)

    Patriots 1% (30th highest) — huddles up

  • Plays from the shotgun

    Raiders 51% (26th highest) — stays under center

    Patriots 49% (29th highest) — stays under center

How the defenses like to play
  • Blitz rate

    Raiders 25% (23rd highest)

    Patriots 37% (8th highest) — sends extra rushers often

  • Pass rushers sent

    Raiders 4.3 (24th highest)

    Patriots 4.5 (6th highest) — sends the most rushers

  • Runs against a loaded box (8+)

    Raiders 9% (15th highest)

    Patriots 16% (4th highest) — stacks the box against the run

Who is missing

The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.

Raiders

Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.

  • Jackson Powers-Johnson GStarterOut · groin · offensive line
  • Aidan O'Connell QBQuestionable · not injury related - personal matter · quarterback
  • Brock Bowers TEStarterLimited in practice · receivers
  • Cody White WRLimited in practice · receivers

Patriots

Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.

  • Christian Gonzalez CBStarterOut · shoulder · pass coverage
  • Brenden Schooler SOut · back · pass coverage
  • Christian Barmore DTOut · shoulder · pass rush
  • Christian Elliss LBStarterQuestionable · chest · run defense
  • Craig Woodson SStarterQuestionable · shoulder · pass coverage
  • Dre'Mont Jones LBStarterQuestionable · shoulder · run defense
  • Morgan Moses TStarterQuestionable · foot · offensive line
  • Channing Canada CBQuestionable · hamstring · pass coverage
  • Eli Raridon TEQuestionable · thigh · receivers
  • Reggie Gilliam FBQuestionable · knee · run game
← All 32 teams

Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.