The Lab · Matchups

Raiders vs Jaguars: position-group matchup

The biggest mismatch: the Raiders pass rush (2nd) against the Jaguars pass protection (20th).

On paper

4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.

Raiders

1

pairings with the edge

Jaguars

2

pairings with the edge

of 8

On paper, the position groups cancel out. This one comes down to the details below.

  • Raiders big edge

    Raiders pass rush (2nd) against the Jaguars pass protection (20th)

  • Jaguars big edge

    Jaguars run defense (12th) against the Raiders run game (30th)

  • Jaguars edge

    Jaguars run game (7th) against the Raiders run defense (20th)

Position group by position group

Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.

Raiders offense vs Jaguars defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders pass protection ranks 16th. The Jaguars pass rush ranks 11th.

    Raiders report: Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, out, groin)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback3.3% (3rd)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback26% (28th)
    • Spencer Burford (G) 100% of snaps
    • Delmar Glaze (T) 100% of snaps
    • Tyler Linderbaum (C) 100% of snaps
    • Kolton Miller (T) 100% of snaps
    • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) 98% of snaps

    Jaguars pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback6.5% (13th)
    • Pressure per dropback25% (13th)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback16.9% (14th)
    • Josh Hines-Allen (DE) 8 pressures, 1.5 sacks
    • Travon Walker (DE) 6 pressures, 1.5 sacks
    • Dennis Gardeck (LB) 4 pressures
  • Run game vs run defense

    Jaguars big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders run game ranks 30th. The Jaguars run defense ranks 12th.

    Raiders report: Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, out, groin)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders run game

    • Points added per run−0.20 (28th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track34% (27th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.7 (15th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards7.5% (20th)
    • Rushing yards before contact1.4 (32nd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line27% (32nd)
    • Ashton Jeanty (RB) −0.28 per run on 77
    • Mike Washington Jr. (RB) −0.09 per run on 24
    • Spencer Burford (G) 100% of snaps
    • Delmar Glaze (T) 100% of snaps
    • Tyler Linderbaum (C) 100% of snaps
    • Kolton Miller (T) 100% of snaps
    • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) 98% of snaps

    Jaguars run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.19 (6th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line16% (21st)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed6.5% (6th)
    • Missed tackles8.4% (19th)
    • Ventrell Miller (LB) 30 tackles, 2 missed
    • Foyesade Oluokun (LB) 24 tackles, 2 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders quarterback play ranks 14th. The Jaguars pass coverage ranks 10th.

    Jaguars report: Montaric Brown (CB, questionable, hamstring)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.15 (11th)
    • Completions above expected+1.9 (15th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.7% (25th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback8.6% (11th)
    • Kirk Cousins (QB) +0.15 per dropback on 148

    Jaguars pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.06 (7th)
    • Completions allowed above expected+8.4 (29th)
    • Interceptions per throw4.1% (2nd)
    • Jarrian Jones (CB) 68.8 passer rating allowed on 31 targets
    • Jourdan Lewis (CB) 52.3 passer rating allowed on 18 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders receiving corps ranks 13th. The Jaguars pass coverage ranks 14th.

    Jaguars report: Montaric Brown (CB, questionable, hamstring)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.24 (14th)
    • Yards after the catch4.0 (25th)
    • Drops per target2.2% (7th)
    • Tackles broken per catch5.4% (11th)
    • Ashton Jeanty (RB) −0.06 per target on 25
    • Brock Bowers (TE) +0.57 per target on 24
    • Michael Mayer (TE) +0.26 per target on 24

    Jaguars pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed10.4% (28th)
    • Passer rating allowed80.8 (5th)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.06 (7th)
    • Jarrian Jones (CB) 68.8 passer rating allowed on 31 targets
    • Jourdan Lewis (CB) 52.3 passer rating allowed on 18 targets

Jaguars offense vs Raiders defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Raiders big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Jaguars pass protection ranks 20th. The Raiders pass rush ranks 2nd.

    The numbers and the players

    Jaguars pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback7.2% (21st)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback23% (16th)
    • Anton Harrison (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Emmanuel Pregnon (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Robert Hainsey (OL) 96% of snaps
    • Ezra Cleveland (OL) 95% of snaps
    • Cole Van Lanen (OL) 90% of snaps

    Raiders pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback8.2% (5th)
    • Pressure per dropback38% (2nd)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback21.9% (2nd)
    • Maxx Crosby (DE) 18 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Kwity Paye (DE) 7 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Malcolm Koonce (DE) 6 pressures, 2.5 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Jaguars edge
    WeakestBest

    The Jaguars run game ranks 7th. The Raiders run defense ranks 20th.

    The numbers and the players

    Jaguars run game

    • Points added per run+0.07 (5th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track47% (4th)
    • Rushing yards after contact2.2 (3rd)
    • Runs of 10+ yards11.8% (8th)
    • Rushing yards before contact1.9 (28th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line16% (10th)
    • Bhayshul Tuten (RB) +0.01 per run on 57
    • Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB) +0.07 per run on 26
    • Anton Harrison (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Emmanuel Pregnon (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Robert Hainsey (OL) 96% of snaps
    • Ezra Cleveland (OL) 95% of snaps
    • Cole Van Lanen (OL) 90% of snaps

    Raiders run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.15 (8th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line18% (16th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed11.6% (27th)
    • Missed tackles9.4% (23rd)
    • Nakobe Dean (LB) 33 tackles, 7 missed
    • Quay Walker (LB) 30 tackles, 2 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Jaguars quarterback play ranks 4th. The Raiders pass coverage ranks 2nd.

    The numbers and the players

    Jaguars quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.24 (4th)
    • Completions above expected+8.8 (1st)
    • Interceptions per throw1.8% (19th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback9.9% (6th)
    • Trevor Lawrence (QB) +0.25 per dropback on 109

    Raiders pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.15 (3rd)
    • Completions allowed above expected−4.1 (4th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.9% (7th)
    • Eric Stokes (CB) 87.5 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Hezekiah Masses (CB) 42.9 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Jaguars receiving corps ranks 8th. The Raiders pass coverage ranks 4th.

    The numbers and the players

    Jaguars receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.42 (3rd)
    • Yards after the catch4.4 (20th)
    • Drops per target2.1% (4th)
    • Tackles broken per catch4.3% (16th)
    • Parker Washington (WR) +0.42 per target on 26
    • Brenton Strange (TE) +0.27 per target on 17
    • Brian Thomas Jr. (WR) +0.34 per target on 15

    Raiders pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed6.2% (7th)
    • Passer rating allowed88.9 (12th)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.15 (3rd)
    • Eric Stokes (CB) 87.5 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Hezekiah Masses (CB) 42.9 passer rating allowed on 20 targets

Tale of the tape

Every unit on its own, side by side.

RaidersJaguars
  • QuarterbackOffense
  • Offensive lineOffense
  • ReceiversOffense
  • Run gameOffense
  • Pass rushDefense
  • Run defenseDefense
  • Pass coverageDefense

Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.

How these grades are calculated
  1. Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
  2. Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
  3. A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
  4. Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.

For example, the Jaguars offensive line is 19th. Its stats rank 21st (sacks allowed per dropback), 16th (pressure allowed per dropback), 28th (rushing yards before contact), and 10th (runs stopped at or behind the line). Averaged, that is a grade of 43 out of 100, which is 19th among the 32 teams.

This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.

Quarterback
points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
Offensive line
sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
Receivers
points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
Run game
points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
Pass rush
sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
Run defense
points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
Pass coverage
points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed

The coaches

Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.

MeasureRaidersJaguars
Head coachKlint KubiakLiam Coen
Record as a head coach3-1 in 4 games (first year)16-5 in 21 games
With this team3-1 since 202616-5 since 2025
Against the spread, this season4-03-1
Against the spread, career4-015-6
Against the spread as an underdog3-06-4
Against the spread as a favorite1-09-2
Coming off a byenone yet1-0
Head coach against head coachHave not metHave not met
Team against team since 19994-66-4
Last meetings, newest first: Raiders 29-30 (2025 Wk 9) · Raiders 19-14 (2024 Wk 16) · Raiders 20-27 (2022 Wk 9) · Raiders 16-20 (2019 Wk 15) · Raiders 33-16 (2016 Wk 7)

How each team plays

Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.

How the offenses like to play
  • Pass rate over expected

    Raiders −2.8 pts (19th highest)

    Jaguars −4.5 pts (24th highest)

  • Play-action share of dropbacks

    Raiders 25% (13th highest)

    Jaguars 27% (9th highest)

  • Plays with pre-snap motion

    Raiders 66% (6th highest) — moves players before almost every snap

    Jaguars 62% (10th highest)

  • No-huddle plays

    Raiders 4% (22nd highest)

    Jaguars 6% (18th highest)

  • Plays from the shotgun

    Raiders 51% (26th highest) — stays under center

    Jaguars 53% (24th highest)

How the defenses like to play
  • Blitz rate

    Raiders 25% (23rd highest)

    Jaguars 27% (22nd highest)

  • Pass rushers sent

    Raiders 4.3 (24th highest)

    Jaguars 4.3 (23rd highest)

  • Runs against a loaded box (8+)

    Raiders 9% (15th highest)

    Jaguars 14% (8th highest) — stacks the box against the run

Who is missing

The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.

Raiders

  • Jackson Powers-Johnson GStarterOut · groin · offensive line
  • Aidan O'Connell QBQuestionable · not injury related - personal matter · quarterback
  • Brock Bowers TEStarterLimited in practice · receivers
  • Cody White WRLimited in practice · receivers

Jaguars

  • Montaric Brown CBStarterQuestionable · hamstring · pass coverage
  • Albert Regis DTQuestionable · elbow · pass rush
  • Christian Braswell CBQuestionable · knee · pass coverage
  • LeQuint Allen Jr. RBLimited in practice · run game
← All 32 teams

Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.