The Lab · Matchups

Raiders vs Colts: position-group matchup

The biggest mismatch: the Raiders pass coverage (2nd) against the Colts quarterback play (30th).

On paper

4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.

Raiders

6

pairings with the edge

Colts

1

pairings with the edge

of 8

On paper, the Raiders hold the edge across the position groups.

  • Raiders big edge

    Raiders pass coverage (2nd) against the Colts quarterback play (30th)

  • Raiders big edge

    Raiders pass coverage (4th) against the Colts receiving corps (29th)

  • Colts edge

    Colts run game (9th) against the Raiders run defense (20th)

Position group by position group

Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.

Raiders offense vs Colts defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Raiders edge
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders pass protection ranks 16th. The Colts pass rush ranks 18th.

    Raiders report: Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, out, groin)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback3.3% (3rd)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback26% (28th)
    • Spencer Burford (G) 100% of snaps
    • Delmar Glaze (T) 100% of snaps
    • Tyler Linderbaum (C) 100% of snaps
    • Kolton Miller (T) 100% of snaps
    • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) 98% of snaps

    Colts pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback6.0% (17th)
    • Pressure per dropback21% (25th)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback15.2% (17th)
    • DeForest Buckner (DT) 7 pressures, 3 sacks
    • Laiatu Latu (DE) 6 pressures, 1 sacks
    • Adetomiwa Adebawore (DT) 5 pressures, 2 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders run game ranks 30th. The Colts run defense ranks 27th.

    Raiders report: Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, out, groin)

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders run game

    • Points added per run−0.20 (28th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track34% (27th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.7 (15th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards7.5% (20th)
    • Rushing yards before contact1.4 (32nd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line27% (32nd)
    • Ashton Jeanty (RB) −0.28 per run on 77
    • Mike Washington Jr. (RB) −0.09 per run on 24
    • Spencer Burford (G) 100% of snaps
    • Delmar Glaze (T) 100% of snaps
    • Tyler Linderbaum (C) 100% of snaps
    • Kolton Miller (T) 100% of snaps
    • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) 98% of snaps

    Colts run defense

    • Points allowed per run+0.02 (28th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line14% (26th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed9.3% (15th)
    • Missed tackles10.7% (25th)
    • Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB) 37 tackles, 2 missed
    • Bryce Boettcher (LB) 14 tackles, 2 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Raiders edge
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders quarterback play ranks 14th. The Colts pass coverage ranks 22nd.

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.15 (11th)
    • Completions above expected+1.9 (15th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.7% (25th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback8.6% (11th)
    • Kirk Cousins (QB) +0.15 per dropback on 148

    Colts pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw+0.06 (23rd)
    • Completions allowed above expected−0.7 (10th)
    • Interceptions per throw0.7% (27th)
    • Justin Walley (CB) 108.1 passer rating allowed on 27 targets
    • Sauce Gardner (CB) 117.7 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Raiders edge
    WeakestBest

    The Raiders receiving corps ranks 13th. The Colts pass coverage ranks 23rd.

    The numbers and the players

    Raiders receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.24 (14th)
    • Yards after the catch4.0 (25th)
    • Drops per target2.2% (7th)
    • Tackles broken per catch5.4% (11th)
    • Ashton Jeanty (RB) −0.06 per target on 25
    • Brock Bowers (TE) +0.57 per target on 24
    • Michael Mayer (TE) +0.26 per target on 24

    Colts pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed8.6% (20th)
    • Passer rating allowed104.1 (27th)
    • Points allowed per throw+0.06 (23rd)
    • Justin Walley (CB) 108.1 passer rating allowed on 27 targets
    • Sauce Gardner (CB) 117.7 passer rating allowed on 20 targets

Colts offense vs Raiders defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Raiders edge
    WeakestBest

    The Colts pass protection ranks 9th. The Raiders pass rush ranks 2nd.

    The numbers and the players

    Colts pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback5.6% (15th)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback20% (7th)
    • Tanor Bortolini (C) 100% of snaps
    • Matt Goncalves (G) 100% of snaps
    • Jalen Travis (T) 100% of snaps
    • Quenton Nelson (G) 99% of snaps
    • Bernhard Raimann (T) 97% of snaps

    Raiders pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback8.2% (5th)
    • Pressure per dropback38% (2nd)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback21.9% (2nd)
    • Maxx Crosby (DE) 18 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Kwity Paye (DE) 7 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Malcolm Koonce (DE) 6 pressures, 2.5 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Colts edge
    WeakestBest

    The Colts run game ranks 9th. The Raiders run defense ranks 20th.

    The numbers and the players

    Colts run game

    • Points added per run+0.12 (2nd)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track46% (6th)
    • Rushing yards after contact1.8 (10th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards12.3% (6th)
    • Rushing yards before contact2.0 (26th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line16% (11th)
    • Jonathan Taylor (RB) +0.06 per run on 85
    • Seth McGowan (RB) +0.01 per run on 12
    • Tanor Bortolini (C) 100% of snaps
    • Matt Goncalves (G) 100% of snaps
    • Jalen Travis (T) 100% of snaps
    • Quenton Nelson (G) 99% of snaps
    • Bernhard Raimann (T) 97% of snaps

    Raiders run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.15 (8th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line18% (16th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed11.6% (27th)
    • Missed tackles9.4% (23rd)
    • Nakobe Dean (LB) 33 tackles, 7 missed
    • Quay Walker (LB) 30 tackles, 2 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Raiders big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Colts quarterback play ranks 30th. The Raiders pass coverage ranks 2nd.

    The numbers and the players

    Colts quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback−0.24 (31st)
    • Completions above expected−2.2 (24th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.9% (26th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback6.3% (26th)
    • Daniel Jones (QB) −0.25 per dropback on 138

    Raiders pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.15 (3rd)
    • Completions allowed above expected−4.1 (4th)
    • Interceptions per throw2.9% (7th)
    • Eric Stokes (CB) 87.5 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Hezekiah Masses (CB) 42.9 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Raiders big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Colts receiving corps ranks 29th. The Raiders pass coverage ranks 4th.

    Colts report: Keenan Allen (WR, questionable, not injury related - resting player)

    The numbers and the players

    Colts receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.00 (29th)
    • Yards after the catch4.3 (22nd)
    • Drops per target5.8% (24th)
    • Tackles broken per catch2.4% (28th)
    • Tyler Warren (TE) +0.14 per target on 27
    • Josh Downs (WR) +0.34 per target on 26
    • Keenan Allen (WR) −0.12 per target on 20

    Raiders pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed6.2% (7th)
    • Passer rating allowed88.9 (12th)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.15 (3rd)
    • Eric Stokes (CB) 87.5 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Hezekiah Masses (CB) 42.9 passer rating allowed on 20 targets

Tale of the tape

Every unit on its own, side by side.

RaidersColts
  • QuarterbackOffense
  • Offensive lineOffense
  • ReceiversOffense
  • Run gameOffense
  • Pass rushDefense
  • Run defenseDefense
  • Pass coverageDefense

Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.

How these grades are calculated
  1. Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
  2. Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
  3. A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
  4. Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.

For example, the Colts quarterback is 30th. Its stats rank 31st (points added per dropback), 24th (completions above expected), 26th (interceptions per throw), and 26th (passes of 20+ yards per dropback). Averaged, that is a grade of 17 out of 100, which is 30th among the 32 teams.

This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.

Quarterback
points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
Offensive line
sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
Receivers
points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
Run game
points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
Pass rush
sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
Run defense
points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
Pass coverage
points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed

The coaches

Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.

MeasureRaidersColts
Head coachKlint KubiakShane Steichen
Record as a head coach3-1 in 4 games (first year)27-28 in 55 games
With this team3-1 since 202627-28 since 2023
Against the spread, this season4-03-1
Against the spread, career4-030-25
Against the spread as an underdog3-016-15
Against the spread as a favorite1-014-10
Coming off a byenone yet1-2
Head coach against head coachHave not metHave not met
Team against team since 19995-99-5
Last meetings, newest first: Raiders 6-40 (2025 Wk 5) · Raiders 20-23 (2023 Wk 17) · Raiders 20-25 (2022 Wk 10) · Raiders 23-20 (2021 Wk 17) · Raiders 27-44 (2020 Wk 14)

How each team plays

Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.

How the offenses like to play
  • Pass rate over expected

    Raiders −2.8 pts (19th highest)

    Colts −3.8 pts (22nd highest)

  • Play-action share of dropbacks

    Raiders 25% (13th highest)

    Colts 31% (4th highest) — leans on play-action

  • Plays with pre-snap motion

    Raiders 66% (6th highest) — moves players before almost every snap

    Colts 60% (12th highest)

  • No-huddle plays

    Raiders 4% (22nd highest)

    Colts 4% (24th highest)

  • Plays from the shotgun

    Raiders 51% (26th highest) — stays under center

    Colts 59% (16th highest)

How the defenses like to play
  • Blitz rate

    Raiders 25% (23rd highest)

    Colts 21% (30th highest) — rarely blitzes

  • Pass rushers sent

    Raiders 4.3 (24th highest)

    Colts 4.2 (31st highest) — rushes with the fewest

  • Runs against a loaded box (8+)

    Raiders 9% (15th highest)

    Colts 11% (11th highest)

Who is missing

The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.

Raiders

  • Jackson Powers-Johnson GStarterOut · groin · offensive line
  • Aidan O'Connell QBQuestionable · not injury related - personal matter · quarterback
  • Brock Bowers TEStarterLimited in practice · receivers
  • Cody White WRLimited in practice · receivers

Colts

  • Keenan Allen WRStarterQuestionable · not injury related - resting player · receivers
  • Ashton Dulin WRQuestionable · ankle · receivers
← All 32 teams

Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.