On paper
4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.
Bears
5
pairings with the edge
Packers
0
pairings with the edge
On paper, the Bears hold the edge across the position groups.
Bears big edge
Bears pass coverage (4th) against the Packers quarterback play (23rd)
Bears big edge
Bears pass coverage (5th) against the Packers receiving corps (25th)
Position group by position group
Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.
Bears offense vs Packers defense
Pass protection vs pass rush
EvenWeakestBestThe Bears pass protection ranks 8th. The Packers pass rush ranks 10th.
Bears (Week 4 report, latest out): Braxton Jones (T, out, knee)
The numbers and the players
Bears pass protection
- Sacks allowed per dropback4.8% (12th)
- Pressure allowed per dropback22% (10th)
- Garrett Bradbury (OL) 100% of snaps
- Joe Thuney (OL) 100% of snaps
- Jonah Jackson (OL) 100% of snaps
- Darnell Wright (OL) 100% of snaps
- Theo Benedet (OL) 51% of snaps
Packers pass rush
- Sacks per dropback7.4% (9th)
- Pressure per dropback30% (8th)
- Quarterback hits per dropback14.1% (21st)
- Lukas Van Ness (DE) 8 pressures, 2.5 sacks
- Evan Williams (S) 5 pressures, 1 sacks
- Barryn Sorrell (DE) 4 pressures, 0.5 sacks
Run game vs run defense
Bears edgeWeakestBestThe Bears run game ranks 6th. The Packers run defense ranks 13th.
Bears (Week 4 report, latest out): Braxton Jones (T, out, knee)
Packers (Week 4 report, latest out): Edgerrin Cooper (LB, questionable, shoulder)
The numbers and the players
Bears run game
- Points added per run−0.02 (9th)
- Runs that keep the drive on track45% (11th)
- Rushing yards after contact2.0 (8th)
- Runs of 10+ yards10.9% (9th)
- Rushing yards before contact3.0 (4th)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line15% (8th)
- D'Andre Swift (RB) −0.11 per run on 67
- Kyle Monangai (RB) +0.08 per run on 57
- Garrett Bradbury (OL) 100% of snaps
- Joe Thuney (OL) 100% of snaps
- Jonah Jackson (OL) 100% of snaps
- Darnell Wright (OL) 100% of snaps
- Theo Benedet (OL) 51% of snaps
Packers run defense
- Points allowed per run−0.02 (23rd)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line21% (11th)
- Runs of 10+ yards allowed7.8% (11th)
- Missed tackles7.4% (11th)
- Edgerrin Cooper (LB) 30 tackles, 2 missed
- Zaire Franklin (LB) 29 tackles, 4 missed
Quarterback vs coverage
Bears edgeWeakestBestThe Bears quarterback play ranks 3rd. The Packers pass coverage ranks 15th.
Bears (Week 4 report, latest out): Caleb Williams (QB, out, hamstring)
The numbers and the players
Bears quarterback play
- Points added per dropback+0.21 (6th)
- Completions above expected+5.6 (4th)
- Interceptions per throw1.5% (10th)
- Passes of 20+ yards per dropback9.5% (7th)
- Caleb Williams (QB) +0.21 per dropback on 58
Packers pass coverage
- Points allowed per throw+0.04 (19th)
- Completions allowed above expected+2.3 (23rd)
- Interceptions per throw3.3% (6th)
- Keisean Nixon (CB) 67.5 passer rating allowed on 29 targets
- Javon Bullard (S) 69.6 passer rating allowed on 15 targets
Receivers vs coverage
EvenWeakestBestThe Bears receiving corps ranks 9th. The Packers pass coverage ranks 13th.
The numbers and the players
Bears receiving corps
- Points added per target+0.30 (10th)
- Yards after the catch5.1 (13th)
- Drops per target5.0% (21st)
- Tackles broken per catch11.4% (1st)
- Luther Burden III (WR) +0.01 per target on 29
- Kalif Raymond (WR) +0.75 per target on 22
- Rome Odunze (WR) +0.55 per target on 20
Packers pass coverage
- Passes of 20+ yards allowed4.4% (4th)
- Passer rating allowed90.4 (14th)
- Points allowed per throw+0.04 (19th)
- Keisean Nixon (CB) 67.5 passer rating allowed on 29 targets
- Javon Bullard (S) 69.6 passer rating allowed on 15 targets
Packers offense vs Bears defense
Pass protection vs pass rush
Bears big edgeWeakestBestThe Packers pass protection ranks 19th. The Bears pass rush ranks 3rd.
Packers (Week 4 report, latest out): Jacob Monk (C, out, quadricep); Jager Burton (C, questionable, groin)
The numbers and the players
Packers pass protection
- Sacks allowed per dropback5.0% (13th)
- Pressure allowed per dropback24% (22nd)
- Jordan Morgan (T) 100% of snaps
- Sean Rhyan (C) 100% of snaps
- Anthony Belton (T) 75% of snaps
- Jacob Monk (C) 96% of snaps
- Jager Burton (C) 70% of snaps
Bears pass rush
- Sacks per dropback8.8% (4th)
- Pressure per dropback35% (3rd)
- Quarterback hits per dropback17.5% (9th)
- Dayo Odeyingbo (DL) 9 pressures, 3 sacks
- Montez Sweat (DL) 7 pressures, 2 sacks
- Austin Booker (DL) 6 pressures, 2 sacks
Run game vs run defense
EvenWeakestBestThe Packers run game ranks 31st. The Bears run defense ranks 26th.
Packers (Week 4 report, latest out): Jacob Monk (C, out, quadricep); Jager Burton (C, questionable, groin)
The numbers and the players
Packers run game
- Points added per run−0.36 (32nd)
- Runs that keep the drive on track36% (23rd)
- Rushing yards after contact1.4 (24th)
- Runs of 10+ yards8.7% (17th)
- Rushing yards before contact1.8 (30th)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line23% (30th)
- MarShawn Lloyd (RB) −0.42 per run on 30
- Kaleb Johnson (RB) −0.44 per run on 19
- Jordan Morgan (T) 100% of snaps
- Sean Rhyan (C) 100% of snaps
- Anthony Belton (T) 75% of snaps
- Jacob Monk (C) 96% of snaps
- Jager Burton (C) 70% of snaps
Bears run defense
- Points allowed per run+0.01 (27th)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line15% (25th)
- Runs of 10+ yards allowed10.7% (23rd)
- Missed tackles8.2% (18th)
- Devin Bush Jr. (LB) 19 tackles
- T.J. Edwards (LB) 12 tackles, 5 missed
Quarterback vs coverage
Bears big edgeWeakestBestThe Packers quarterback play ranks 23rd. The Bears pass coverage ranks 4th.
Bears (Week 4 report, latest out): Cam Lewis (S, doubtful, hip)
The numbers and the players
Packers quarterback play
- Points added per dropback+0.00 (21st)
- Completions above expected−7.3 (31st)
- Interceptions per throw1.9% (20th)
- Passes of 20+ yards per dropback8.1% (15th)
- Jordan Love (QB) +0.00 per dropback on 160
Bears pass coverage
- Points allowed per throw−0.14 (4th)
- Completions allowed above expected−3.4 (6th)
- Interceptions per throw2.8% (9th)
- Jaylon Johnson (DB) 118.8 passer rating allowed on 18 targets
- Malik Muhammad (DB) 43.5 passer rating allowed on 18 targets
Receivers vs coverage
Bears big edgeWeakestBestThe Packers receiving corps ranks 25th. The Bears pass coverage ranks 5th.
Bears (Week 4 report, latest out): Cam Lewis (S, doubtful, hip)
The numbers and the players
Packers receiving corps
- Points added per target+0.10 (21st)
- Yards after the catch5.8 (10th)
- Drops per target8.8% (32nd)
- Tackles broken per catch3.5% (24th)
- Matthew Golden (WR) +0.14 per target on 37
- Christian Watson (WR) +0.31 per target on 32
- Tucker Kraft (TE) +0.15 per target on 24
Bears pass coverage
- Passes of 20+ yards allowed7.0% (11th)
- Passer rating allowed87.1 (9th)
- Points allowed per throw−0.14 (4th)
- Jaylon Johnson (DB) 118.8 passer rating allowed on 18 targets
- Malik Muhammad (DB) 43.5 passer rating allowed on 18 targets
Tale of the tape
Every unit on its own, side by side.
- 3rdQuarterbackOffense23rd
- 4thOffensive lineOffense28th
- 9thReceiversOffense25th
- 8thRun gameOffense29th
- 3rdPass rushDefense10th
- 26thRun defenseDefense13th
- 5thPass coverageDefense10th
Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.
How these grades are calculated
- Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
- Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
- A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
- Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.
For example, the Packers run game is 29th. Its stats rank 32nd (points added per run), 23rd (runs that keep the drive on track), 24th (rushing yards after contact), and 17th (runs of 10+ yards). Averaged, that is a grade of 26 out of 100, which is 29th among the 32 teams.
This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.
- Quarterback
- points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
- Offensive line
- sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
- Receivers
- points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
- Run game
- points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
- Pass rush
- sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
- Run defense
- points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
- Pass coverage
- points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed
The coaches
Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.
| Measure | Bears | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ben Johnson | Matt LaFleur |
| Record as a head coach | 14-7 in 21 games | 78-42-1 in 121 games |
| With this team | 14-7 since 2025 | 78-42-1 since 2019 |
| Against the spread, this season | 3-1 | 0-3-1 |
| Against the spread, career | 12-8-1 | 63-56-2 |
| Against the spread as an underdog | 6-5 | 23-14-1 |
| Against the spread as a favorite | 6-3-1 | 40-42-1 |
| Coming off a bye | 1-0 | 4-3 |
| Head coach against head coach | 1-1 against Matt LaFleur | 1-1 against Ben Johnson |
| Team against team since 1999 | 15-39 | 39-15 |
How each team plays
Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.
Pass rate over expected
Bears −3.0 pts (20th highest)
Packers +2.4 pts (6th highest) — throws more than the situation calls for
Play-action share of dropbacks
Bears 33% (3rd highest) — leans on play-action
Packers 16% (31st highest) — rarely uses play-action
Plays with pre-snap motion
Bears 46% (32nd highest) — keeps its formations still
Packers 58% (15th highest)
No-huddle plays
Bears 6% (17th highest)
Packers 10% (6th highest) — hurries to the line
Plays from the shotgun
Bears 50% (27th highest) — stays under center
Packers 69% (7th highest) — lives in the shotgun
Blitz rate
Bears 39% (5th highest) — sends extra rushers often
Packers 41% (4th highest) — sends extra rushers often
Pass rushers sent
Bears 4.6 (2nd highest) — sends the most rushers
Packers 4.5 (5th highest) — sends the most rushers
Runs against a loaded box (8+)
Bears 22% (2nd highest) — stacks the box against the run
Packers 4% (26th highest) — stays light in the box
Who is missing
The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.
Bears
Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.
- Braxton Jones TStarterOut · knee · offensive line
- Caleb Williams QBStarterOut · hamstring · quarterback
- Kyler Gordon CBOut · calf · pass coverage
- Noah Sewell LBOut · achilles · run defense
- Shemar Turner DEOut · knee · pass rush
- Cam Lewis SStarterDoubtful · hip · pass coverage
Packers
Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.
- Jacob Monk CStarterOut · quadricep · offensive line
- Aaron Banks GOut · knee · offensive line
- Anthony Campbell DTOut · ankle · pass rush
- Warren Brinson DTOut · calf · pass rush
- Edgerrin Cooper LBStarterQuestionable · shoulder · run defense
- Jager Burton CStarterQuestionable · groin · offensive line
- Karl Brooks DTStarterLimited in practice · pass rush
- Lukas Van Ness LBStarterLimited in practice · run defense
Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.