On paper
4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.
Bills
2
pairings with the edge
Rams
5
pairings with the edge
On paper, the Rams hold the edge across the position groups.
Rams edge
Rams run game (5th) against the Bills run defense (17th)
Bills edge
Bills run game (1st) against the Rams run defense (9th)
Rams edge
Rams pass coverage (1st) against the Bills receiving corps (5th)
Bills edge
Bills pass protection (14th) against the Rams pass rush (23rd)
Position group by position group
Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.
Bills offense vs Rams defense
Pass protection vs pass rush
Bills edgeWeakestBestThe Bills pass protection ranks 14th. The Rams pass rush ranks 23rd.
The numbers and the players
Bills pass protection
- Sacks allowed per dropback6.7% (19th)
- Pressure allowed per dropback22% (12th)
- Alec Anderson (C) 100% of snaps
- Spencer Brown (T) 100% of snaps
- Connor McGovern (C) 100% of snaps
- Dion Dawkins (T) 100% of snaps
- O'Cyrus Torrence (G) 100% of snaps
Rams pass rush
- Sacks per dropback5.1% (21st)
- Pressure per dropback23% (18th)
- Quarterback hits per dropback13.1% (24th)
- Byron Young (LB) 11 pressures, 3.5 sacks
- Braden Fiske (DE) 4 pressures
- Omar Speights (LB) 3 pressures, 2 sacks
Run game vs run defense
Bills edgeWeakestBestThe Bills run game ranks 1st. The Rams run defense ranks 9th.
The numbers and the players
Bills run game
- Points added per run+0.07 (4th)
- Runs that keep the drive on track52% (1st)
- Rushing yards after contact1.5 (17th)
- Runs of 10+ yards15.8% (1st)
- Rushing yards before contact3.5 (1st)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line11% (2nd)
- James Cook (RB) +0.12 per run on 68
- Josh Allen (QB) +0.13 per run on 20
- Alec Anderson (C) 100% of snaps
- Spencer Brown (T) 100% of snaps
- Connor McGovern (C) 100% of snaps
- Dion Dawkins (T) 100% of snaps
- O'Cyrus Torrence (G) 100% of snaps
Rams run defense
- Points allowed per run−0.11 (13th)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line14% (27th)
- Runs of 10+ yards allowed6.0% (4th)
- Missed tackles4.6% (2nd)
- Nathan Landman (LB) 28 tackles, 1 missed
- Omar Speights (LB) 18 tackles, 1 missed
Quarterback vs coverage
EvenWeakestBestThe Bills quarterback play ranks 7th. The Rams pass coverage ranks 5th.
The numbers and the players
Bills quarterback play
- Points added per dropback+0.21 (7th)
- Completions above expected+5.5 (6th)
- Interceptions per throw2.3% (22nd)
- Passes of 20+ yards per dropback11.8% (1st)
- Josh Allen (QB) +0.17 per dropback on 129
Rams pass coverage
- Points allowed per throw−0.19 (2nd)
- Completions allowed above expected−13.1 (1st)
- Interceptions per throw2.2% (16th)
- Quentin Lake (S) 64.8 passer rating allowed on 24 targets
- Trent McDuffie (CB) 22.5 passer rating allowed on 21 targets
Receivers vs coverage
Rams edgeWeakestBestThe Bills receiving corps ranks 5th. The Rams pass coverage ranks 1st.
The numbers and the players
Bills receiving corps
- Points added per target+0.38 (4th)
- Yards after the catch5.1 (12th)
- Drops per target3.5% (15th)
- Tackles broken per catch7.7% (7th)
- Khalil Shakir (WR) +0.07 per target on 23
- DJ Moore (WR) +0.32 per target on 20
- Dalton Kincaid (TE) +0.62 per target on 19
Rams pass coverage
- Passes of 20+ yards allowed3.6% (2nd)
- Passer rating allowed78.4 (3rd)
- Points allowed per throw−0.19 (2nd)
- Quentin Lake (S) 64.8 passer rating allowed on 24 targets
- Trent McDuffie (CB) 22.5 passer rating allowed on 21 targets
Rams offense vs Bills defense
Pass protection vs pass rush
Rams edgeWeakestBestThe Rams pass protection ranks 2nd. The Bills pass rush ranks 8th.
The numbers and the players
Rams pass protection
- Sacks allowed per dropback3.5% (4th)
- Pressure allowed per dropback18% (4th)
- Steve Avila (OL) 100% of snaps
- Alaric Jackson (OL) 100% of snaps
- Warren McClendon (OL) 100% of snaps
- Coleman Shelton (OL) 100% of snaps
- Kevin Dotson (OL) 99% of snaps
Bills pass rush
- Sacks per dropback6.0% (16th)
- Pressure per dropback33% (4th)
- Quarterback hits per dropback19.3% (5th)
- Gregory Rousseau (LB) 22 pressures, 6 sacks
- Bradley Chubb (LB) 10 pressures, 1.5 sacks
- Deone Walker (DL) 7 pressures, 1 sacks
Run game vs run defense
Rams edgeWeakestBestThe Rams run game ranks 5th. The Bills run defense ranks 17th.
The numbers and the players
Rams run game
- Points added per run−0.04 (11th)
- Runs that keep the drive on track46% (8th)
- Rushing yards after contact1.8 (11th)
- Runs of 10+ yards9.6% (15th)
- Rushing yards before contact3.0 (2nd)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line10% (1st)
- Kyren Williams (RB) +0.03 per run on 53
- Blake Corum (RB) −0.01 per run on 33
- Steve Avila (OL) 100% of snaps
- Alaric Jackson (OL) 100% of snaps
- Warren McClendon (OL) 100% of snaps
- Coleman Shelton (OL) 100% of snaps
- Kevin Dotson (OL) 99% of snaps
Bills run defense
- Points allowed per run−0.05 (20th)
- Runs stopped at or behind the line25% (2nd)
- Runs of 10+ yards allowed9.8% (18th)
- Missed tackles11.2% (26th)
- Dorian Williams (LB) 32 tackles, 3 missed
- Terrel Bernard (LB) 29 tackles, 5 missed
Quarterback vs coverage
Rams edgeWeakestBestThe Rams quarterback play ranks 18th. The Bills pass coverage ranks 27th.
Bills (Week 4 report, latest out): Christian Benford (CB, questionable, toe)
The numbers and the players
Rams quarterback play
- Points added per dropback+0.04 (16th)
- Completions above expected−0.3 (21st)
- Interceptions per throw3.6% (29th)
- Passes of 20+ yards per dropback9.3% (8th)
- Matthew Stafford (QB) +0.03 per dropback on 164
Bills pass coverage
- Points allowed per throw+0.14 (26th)
- Completions allowed above expected+2.3 (22nd)
- Interceptions per throw1.3% (23rd)
- Christian Benford (CB) 116.0 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
- Maxwell Hairston (CB) 100.6 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
Receivers vs coverage
Rams edgeWeakestBestThe Rams receiving corps ranks 22nd. The Bills pass coverage ranks 26th.
Bills (Week 4 report, latest out): Christian Benford (CB, questionable, toe)
The numbers and the players
Rams receiving corps
- Points added per target+0.12 (20th)
- Yards after the catch4.6 (19th)
- Drops per target6.5% (27th)
- Tackles broken per catch5.0% (14th)
- Davante Adams (WR) +0.39 per target on 38
- Kyren Williams (RB) −0.06 per target on 24
- Puka Nacua (WR) +0.05 per target on 21
Bills pass coverage
- Passes of 20+ yards allowed10.2% (26th)
- Passer rating allowed103.3 (26th)
- Points allowed per throw+0.14 (26th)
- Christian Benford (CB) 116.0 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
- Maxwell Hairston (CB) 100.6 passer rating allowed on 20 targets
Tale of the tape
Every unit on its own, side by side.
- 7thQuarterbackOffense18th
- 3rdOffensive lineOffense2nd
- 5thReceiversOffense22nd
- 4thRun gameOffense10th
- 7thPass rushDefense22nd
- 17thRun defenseDefense9th
- 26thPass coverageDefense2nd
Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.
How these grades are calculated
- Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
- Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
- A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
- Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.
For example, the Rams receivers is 22nd. Its stats rank 20th (points added per target), 19th (yards after the catch), 27th (drops per target), and 14th (tackles broken per catch). Averaged, that is a grade of 39 out of 100, which is 22nd among the 32 teams.
This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.
- Quarterback
- points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
- Offensive line
- sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
- Receivers
- points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
- Run game
- points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
- Pass rush
- sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
- Run defense
- points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
- Pass coverage
- points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed
The coaches
Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.
| Measure | Bills | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Sean McDermott | Sean McVay |
| Record as a head coach | 101-51 in 152 games | 94-59 in 153 games |
| With this team | 101-51 since 2017 | 94-59 since 2017 |
| Against the spread, this season | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Against the spread, career | 81-65-6 | 83-66-4 |
| Against the spread as an underdog | 26-20-2 | 23-21-2 |
| Against the spread as a favorite | 55-45-4 | 60-45-2 |
| Coming off a bye | 9-0 | 6-3 |
| Head coach against head coach | 2-1 against Sean McVay | 1-2 against Sean McDermott |
| Team against team since 1999 | 5-2 | 2-5 |
How each team plays
Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.
Pass rate over expected
Bills −1.4 pts (14th highest)
Rams +1.0 pts (10th highest)
Play-action share of dropbacks
Bills 30% (6th highest) — leans on play-action
Rams 22% (21st highest)
Plays with pre-snap motion
Bills 66% (5th highest) — moves players before almost every snap
Rams 63% (8th highest) — moves players before almost every snap
No-huddle plays
Bills 4% (21st highest)
Rams 12% (4th highest) — hurries to the line
Plays from the shotgun
Bills 45% (31st highest) — stays under center
Rams 58% (18th highest)
Blitz rate
Bills 33% (12th highest)
Rams 32% (13th highest)
Pass rushers sent
Bills 4.3 (17th highest)
Rams 4.4 (11th highest)
Runs against a loaded box (8+)
Bills 20% (3rd highest) — stacks the box against the run
Rams 10% (12th highest)
Who is missing
The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.
Bills
Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.
- T.J. Sanders DEDoubtful · illness · pass rush
- Christian Benford CBStarterQuestionable · toe · pass coverage
- Ray Davis RBQuestionable · hamstring · run game
- Terrel Bernard LBStarterDid not practice · run defense
- Sam Franklin Jr. SDid not practice · pass coverage
- Keon Coleman WRStarterLimited in practice · receivers
- DJ Moore WRLimited in practice · receivers
- Damar Hamlin SLimited in practice · pass coverage
Rams
No report yet.
No report yet.
Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.