The Lab · Matchups

Falcons vs Ravens: position-group matchup

The biggest mismatch: the Ravens quarterback play (1st) against the Falcons pass coverage (17th).

Week 5: Ravens at FalconsSun, Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ETFalcons favored by 3.5

On paper

4 games in. Samples are still small, so a rank can move a lot in a week. Ranks are out of 32 teams and 1st is always best, on offense and defense alike.

Falcons

2

pairings with the edge

Ravens

4

pairings with the edge

of 8

On paper, the Ravens hold the edge across the position groups.

  • Ravens big edge

    Ravens quarterback play (1st) against the Falcons pass coverage (17th)

  • Falcons big edge

    Falcons run game (2nd) against the Ravens run defense (16th)

  • Ravens edge

    Ravens pass protection (11th) against the Falcons pass rush (21st)

  • Falcons edge

    Falcons pass protection (12th) against the Ravens pass rush (20th)

Position group by position group

Each offense against the other team's defense, one position group at a time. Circle: the offense. Diamond: the defense. Whoever sits further right wins that pairing.

Falcons offense vs Ravens defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Falcons edge
    WeakestBest

    The Falcons pass protection ranks 12th. The Ravens pass rush ranks 20th.

    The numbers and the players

    Falcons pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback7.3% (22nd)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback15% (3rd)
    • Matthew Bergeron (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Ryan Neuzil (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Chris Lindstrom (G) 93% of snaps
    • Jawaan Taylor (T) 91% of snaps
    • Jake Matthews (T) 80% of snaps

    Ravens pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback4.6% (24th)
    • Pressure per dropback20% (26th)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback17.1% (11th)
    • Tavius Robinson (LB) 7 pressures, 2 sacks
    • Mike Green (LB) 6 pressures, 1 sacks
    • Trey Hendrickson (LB) 3 pressures, 1 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Falcons big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Falcons run game ranks 2nd. The Ravens run defense ranks 16th.

    Ravens (Week 4 report, latest out): Trey Hendrickson (LB, out, finger)

    The numbers and the players

    Falcons run game

    • Points added per run+0.11 (3rd)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track52% (2nd)
    • Rushing yards after contact2.4 (2nd)
    • Runs of 10+ yards10.9% (10th)
    • Rushing yards before contact2.6 (12th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line13% (6th)
    • Bijan Robinson (RB) +0.11 per run on 82
    • Brian Robinson (RB) +0.20 per run on 44
    • Matthew Bergeron (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Ryan Neuzil (OL) 100% of snaps
    • Chris Lindstrom (G) 93% of snaps
    • Jawaan Taylor (T) 91% of snaps
    • Jake Matthews (T) 80% of snaps

    Ravens run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.05 (21st)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line21% (8th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed10.0% (20th)
    • Missed tackles8.1% (16th)
    • Roquan Smith (LB) 34 tackles, 1 missed
    • Trenton Simpson (LB) 26 tackles, 1 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Ravens edge
    WeakestBest

    The Falcons quarterback play ranks 29th. The Ravens pass coverage ranks 16th.

    The numbers and the players

    Falcons quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback−0.21 (30th)
    • Completions above expected−6.4 (30th)
    • Interceptions per throw5.7% (32nd)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback9.1% (9th)
    • Michael Penix Jr. (QB) +0.49 per dropback on 46

    Ravens pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.06 (8th)
    • Completions allowed above expected+1.7 (20th)
    • Interceptions per throw1.4% (21st)
    • Marlon Humphrey (CB) 109.9 passer rating allowed on 23 targets
    • Nate Wiggins (CB) 65.3 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Falcons receiving corps ranks 7th. The Ravens pass coverage ranks 10th.

    The numbers and the players

    Falcons receiving corps

    • Points added per target−0.02 (30th)
    • Yards after the catch8.2 (1st)
    • Drops per target2.1% (6th)
    • Tackles broken per catch8.1% (6th)
    • Drake London (WR) +0.84 per target on 24
    • Bijan Robinson (RB) −0.33 per target on 18
    • Jahan Dotson (WR) −0.90 per target on 13

    Ravens pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed6.6% (9th)
    • Passer rating allowed92.4 (18th)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.06 (8th)
    • Marlon Humphrey (CB) 109.9 passer rating allowed on 23 targets
    • Nate Wiggins (CB) 65.3 passer rating allowed on 22 targets

Ravens offense vs Falcons defense

  • Pass protection vs pass rush

    Ravens edge
    WeakestBest

    The Ravens pass protection ranks 11th. The Falcons pass rush ranks 21st.

    Ravens (Week 4 report, latest out): Jovaughn Gwyn (C, out, ankle); Ronnie Stanley (T, questionable, toe)

    The numbers and the players

    Ravens pass protection

    • Sacks allowed per dropback5.9% (17th)
    • Pressure allowed per dropback20% (6th)
    • Olaivavega Ioane (G) 100% of snaps
    • John Simpson (G) 100% of snaps
    • Roger Rosengarten (T) 100% of snaps
    • Ronnie Stanley (T) 92% of snaps
    • Jovaughn Gwyn (OL) 91% of snaps

    Falcons pass rush

    • Sacks per dropback3.8% (27th)
    • Pressure per dropback19% (28th)
    • Quarterback hits per dropback18.9% (7th)
    • Cameron Thomas (DE) 7 pressures, 1.5 sacks
    • Za'Darius Smith (DE) 6 pressures, 2.5 sacks
    • Samson Ebukam (DE) 5 pressures, 0.5 sacks
  • Run game vs run defense

    Even
    WeakestBest

    The Ravens run game ranks 8th. The Falcons run defense ranks 2nd.

    Ravens (Week 4 report, latest out): Jovaughn Gwyn (C, out, ankle); Ronnie Stanley (T, questionable, toe)

    Falcons (Week 4 report, latest out): Divine Deablo (LB, questionable, hamstring)

    The numbers and the players

    Ravens run game

    • Points added per run+0.02 (6th)
    • Runs that keep the drive on track45% (9th)
    • Rushing yards after contact2.1 (5th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards11.8% (7th)
    • Rushing yards before contact2.7 (11th)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line19% (21st)
    • Derrick Henry (RB) −0.04 per run on 88
    • Justice Hill (RB) −0.01 per run on 14
    • Olaivavega Ioane (G) 100% of snaps
    • John Simpson (G) 100% of snaps
    • Roger Rosengarten (T) 100% of snaps
    • Ronnie Stanley (T) 92% of snaps
    • Jovaughn Gwyn (OL) 91% of snaps

    Falcons run defense

    • Points allowed per run−0.25 (3rd)
    • Runs stopped at or behind the line22% (7th)
    • Runs of 10+ yards allowed3.1% (2nd)
    • Missed tackles7.5% (13th)
    • Divine Deablo (LB) 11 tackles, 1 missed
    • Kendal Daniels (LB) 10 tackles, 3 missed
  • Quarterback vs coverage

    Ravens big edge
    WeakestBest

    The Ravens quarterback play ranks 1st. The Falcons pass coverage ranks 17th.

    The numbers and the players

    Ravens quarterback play

    • Points added per dropback+0.36 (2nd)
    • Completions above expected+8.1 (2nd)
    • Interceptions per throw0.9% (8th)
    • Passes of 20+ yards per dropback11.8% (2nd)
    • Lamar Jackson (QB) +0.36 per dropback on 101

    Falcons pass coverage

    • Points allowed per throw−0.02 (12th)
    • Completions allowed above expected−0.6 (11th)
    • Interceptions per throw0.5% (31st)
    • C.J. Henderson (CB) 80.9 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Mike Hughes (CB) 137.1 passer rating allowed on 21 targets
  • Receivers vs coverage

    Ravens edge
    WeakestBest

    The Ravens receiving corps ranks 4th. The Falcons pass coverage ranks 17th.

    The numbers and the players

    Ravens receiving corps

    • Points added per target+0.53 (2nd)
    • Yards after the catch6.4 (4th)
    • Drops per target4.9% (20th)
    • Tackles broken per catch5.3% (12th)
    • Mark Andrews (TE) +0.30 per target on 24
    • Zay Flowers (WR) +1.09 per target on 22
    • Rashod Bateman (WR) +0.73 per target on 15

    Falcons pass coverage

    • Passes of 20+ yards allowed7.6% (15th)
    • Passer rating allowed98.5 (21st)
    • Points allowed per throw−0.02 (12th)
    • C.J. Henderson (CB) 80.9 passer rating allowed on 22 targets
    • Mike Hughes (CB) 137.1 passer rating allowed on 21 targets

Tale of the tape

Every unit on its own, side by side.

FalconsRavens
  • QuarterbackOffense
  • Offensive lineOffense
  • ReceiversOffense
  • Run gameOffense
  • Pass rushDefense
  • Run defenseDefense
  • Pass coverageDefense

Longer bar is better. Each unit is graded on the stats shown in the pairings above, ranked among all 32 teams.

How these grades are calculated
  1. Each position group is judged on three to five plain stats, listed below. All of them are per play or per throw, never season totals.
  2. Every stat is ranked across all 32 teams, 1st to 32th, the right way round (fewer drops is better, more pressure is better for a pass rush).
  3. A rank becomes a score from 0 to 100, with 1st at 100 and last at 0. The group's grade is the average of its stats' scores.
  4. Teams are ranked by that grade, and that rank is the number on the cards.

For example, the Ravens pass rush is 20th. Its stats rank 24th (sacks per dropback), 26th (pressure per dropback), and 11th (quarterback hits per dropback). Averaged, that is a grade of 38 out of 100, which is 20th among the 32 teams.

This is why a grade can disagree with a total or with another site's rating. A team can rank high in rushing yards because it carries the ball a lot or trails late, and still rank low here because each run adds little. Film grades, like PFF's, come from watching every player on every snap, and these do not. Early in the season a few plays can move a rank a lot.

Quarterback
points added per dropback, completions above expected, interceptions per throw, passes of 20+ yards per dropback
Offensive line
sacks allowed per dropback, pressure allowed per dropback, rushing yards before contact, runs stopped at or behind the line
Receivers
points added per target, yards after the catch, drops per target, tackles broken per catch
Run game
points added per run, runs that keep the drive on track, rushing yards after contact, runs of 10+ yards
Pass rush
sacks per dropback, pressure per dropback, quarterback hits per dropback
Run defense
points allowed per run, runs stopped at or behind the line, runs of 10+ yards allowed, missed tackles
Pass coverage
points allowed per throw, completions allowed above expected, passes of 20+ yards allowed, interceptions per throw, passer rating allowed

The coaches

Records are regular-season games since 1999, against the spread as listed by the games file. A new coach has no history here yet.

MeasureFalconsRavens
Head coachRaheem MorrisJesse Minter
Record as a head coach39-58 in 97 games3-1 in 4 games (first year)
With this team22-27 since 20203-1 since 2026
Against the spread, this season2-21-2-1
Against the spread, career43-53-11-2-1
Against the spread as an underdog31-36none yet
Against the spread as a favorite12-17-11-2-1
Coming off a bye3-3none yet
Head coach against head coachHave not metHave not met
Team against team since 19992-55-2
Last meetings, newest first: Falcons 9-17 (2022 Wk 16) · Falcons 16-26 (2018 Wk 13) · Falcons 7-29 (2014 Wk 7) · Falcons 26-21 (2010 Wk 10) · Falcons 10-24 (2006 Wk 11)

How each team plays

Not good or bad, just the style. Ranks go from the highest rate down, so a 1st means the most of it in the league.

How the offenses like to play
  • Pass rate over expected

    Falcons −11.1 pts (32nd highest) — runs more than the situation calls for

    Ravens −6.1 pts (27th highest) — runs more than the situation calls for

  • Play-action share of dropbacks

    Falcons 21% (25th highest) — rarely uses play-action

    Ravens 29% (7th highest) — leans on play-action

  • Plays with pre-snap motion

    Falcons 63% (9th highest)

    Ravens 64% (7th highest) — moves players before almost every snap

  • No-huddle plays

    Falcons 3% (26th highest) — huddles up

    Ravens 3% (25th highest) — huddles up

  • Plays from the shotgun

    Falcons 50% (28th highest) — stays under center

    Ravens 55% (21st highest)

How the defenses like to play
  • Blitz rate

    Falcons 23% (26th highest) — rarely blitzes

    Ravens 29% (16th highest)

  • Pass rushers sent

    Falcons 4.3 (27th highest) — rushes with the fewest

    Ravens 4.4 (13th highest)

  • Runs against a loaded box (8+)

    Falcons 6% (22nd highest)

    Ravens 1% (31st highest) — stays light in the box

Who is missing

The latest injury report for each team, sorted by position group. A starter averaged more than half the team's snaps in the games he played.

Falcons

Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.

  • Divine Deablo LBStarterQuestionable · hamstring · run defense
  • Samson Ebukam DEQuestionable · hamstring · pass rush
  • Yasir Abdullah LBQuestionable · illness · run defense
  • Jake Matthews TStarterDid not practice · offensive line

Ravens

Latest report is from Week 4; the Week 5 report is not out yet.

  • Jovaughn Gwyn CStarterOut · ankle · offensive line
  • Trey Hendrickson LBStarterOut · finger · run defense
  • Ethan Pocic COut · knee · offensive line
  • Ronnie Stanley TStarterQuestionable · toe · offensive line
  • Chris Moore WRQuestionable · ankle · receivers
  • Zay Flowers WRQuestionable · hamstring · receivers
← All 32 teams

Data: nflverse play-by-play, CC BY 4.0. Ranks use the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Also FTN charting, Pro Football Reference advanced stats, snap counts and injury reports, all through nflverse. Calculations and charts by Raiders Rundown.